Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 16 analysts1.4% Above Target
HGV trades 1.4% above Wall Street's consensus target of $52.00.
Current Price$52.73
Average Target$52.00
Target
Current
Low$47.00
Median$53.00
High$55.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.6x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+130.5%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread15.4%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes HGV achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 16 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
HGV Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $52.00, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $52.73, this represents a potential downside of -1.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.28B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $47.00 to a high of $55.00, representing a 15% spread in expectations. The median target of $53.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, HGV trades at a trailing P/E of 59.2x and forward P/E of 9.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +130.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $210.31, with bear and bull scenarios of $132.50 and $277.11 respectively. Model confidence stands at 37/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+15.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
26.7x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | $3.4B | $97.97 | $90.67 | -7.5% | Buy | 13.2x | 18 |
 TNLTravel + Leisure Co. | $4.8B | $76.71 | $86.88 | +13.3% | Buy | 10.4x | 15 |
 SVCService Properties Trust | $281M | $1.69 | $3.50 | +107.1% | Hold | — | 15 |
 HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $79.4B | $348.84 | $342.30 | -1.9% | Buy | 38.6x | 49 |
 MARMarriott International, Inc. | $104.5B | $396.20 | $393.07 | -0.8% | Hold | 34.2x | 52 |
 HHyatt Hotels Corporation | $19.3B | $202.09 | $194.92 | -3.5% | Hold | 57.2x | 49 |
 IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC | $25.7B | $171.02 | $158.80 | -7.1% | Buy | 30.0x | 23 |
 ABNBAirbnb, Inc. | $84.5B | $142.41 | $154.50 | +8.5% | Buy | 27.8x | 45 |
 EXPEExpedia Group, Inc. | $28.2B | $240.90 | $270.63 | +12.3% | Hold | 12.2x | 75 |
 BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. | $133.1B | $171.78 | $230.70 | +34.3% | Buy | 16.4x | 71 |
HGV — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HGV stock.
What is the HGV stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for HGV is $52, -1.4% from its current price of $52.73. The below-market target from 16 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is HGV a buy, sell, or hold?
HGV has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 9 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $52 implies -1.4% downside from current levels.
Is HGV stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.6238x, HGV trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $52 implies -1.4% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can HGV stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $55 for HGV, while the most conservative target is $47. The consensus of $52 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $277 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover HGV stock?
HGV is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the HGV stock forecast?
The 12-month HGV stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $52, with estimates ranging from $47 (bear case) to $55 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $210, with bear/bull scenarios of $133/$277.
What is HGV's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HGV's fair value at $210 (base case), with a bear case of $133 and bull case of $277. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 37/100.
What is HGV's forward P/E ratio?
HGV trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 59.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy HGV stock?
Analysts are cautious on HGV, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $52 (-1.4% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do HGV price targets vary so much?
HGV analyst price targets range from $47 to $55, a 15% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $52 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $133-$277 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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