MAX trades 10.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $11.17.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MAX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $11.17, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $10.13, this represents a potential upside of +10.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $559M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $11.00 to a high of $11.50, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $11.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MAX trades at a trailing P/E of 26.0x and forward P/E of 9.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +47.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $16.41, with bear and bull scenarios of $10.34 and $21.62 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QNSTQuinStreet, Inc. | $750M | $13.06 | $15.00 | +14.9% | Buy | 10.8x | 13 |
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc. | $2.3B | $37.74 | $38.50 | +2.0% | Buy | 16.4x | 12 |
ACMRACM Research, Inc. | $7.3B | $109.87 | $100.00 | -9.0% | Buy | 55.2x | 10 |
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $203M | $5.00 | $8.95 | +79.0% | Hold | 5.3x | 12 |
GOOGAlphabet Inc. | $4.4T | $367.46 | $400.72 | +9.1% | Buy | 25.9x | 79 |
METAMeta Platforms, Inc. | $1.5T | $577.22 | $826.11 | +43.1% | Buy | 17.5x | 60 |
TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc. | $8.7B | $18.51 | $29.45 | +59.1% | Buy | 18.6x | 47 |
MGNIMagnite, Inc. | $2.6B | $17.89 | $19.25 | +7.6% | Buy | 16.8x | 31 |
PERIPerion Network Ltd. | $351M | $8.51 | $13.50 | +58.6% | Buy | 7.2x | 14 |
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. | $1.6B | $10.33 | $13.38 | +29.5% | Buy | 21.0x | 33 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MAX stock.
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) has a consensus 12-month price target of $11.17, implying 10.3% upside from $10.13. The 9 analysts covering MAX see moderate appreciation potential.
MAX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $11.17 implies 10.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.8618x, MAX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $11.17 implies 10.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $11.5 for MAX, while the most conservative target is $11. The consensus of $11.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $22 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MAX is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MAX stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $11.17, with estimates ranging from $11 (bear case) to $11.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $16, with bear/bull scenarios of $10/$22.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MAX's fair value at $16 (base case), with a bear case of $10 and bull case of $22. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
MAX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MAX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $11.17 price target (10.3% upside). 5 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MAX analyst price targets range from $11 to $11.5, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $11.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $10-$22 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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