Revenue seasonality masks underlying stability, with 2026Q2 revenue of $375.2M up 6.8% YoY, but gross margin volatility (100% in 2026Q2 vs. 25% in 2026Q1) reflects pass-through mechanics and potential data anomalies.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) annual income statement — 30-year revenue, gross profit & net income history
| Metric | TTM | Dec'25 | Dec'24 | Dec'23 | Dec'22 | Dec'21 | Dec'20 | Dec'19 | Dec'18 | Dec'17 | Dec'16 | Dec'15 | Dec'14 | Dec'13 | Dec'12 | Dec'11 | Dec'10 | Dec'09 | Dec'08 | Dec'07 | Dec'06 | Dec'05 | Dec'04 | Dec'03 | Dec'02 | Dec'01 | Dec'00 | Dec'99 | Dec'98 | Dec'97 | Dec'96 |
|---|
| Sales/Revenue | 1.83B | 1.88B | 1.76B | 1.8B | 1.75B | 3.45B | 5.53B | 5.34B | 4.53B | 4.44B | 4.13B | 4.19B | 4.67B | 4.46B | 4.08B | 4.05B | 3.91B | 4.18B | 5B | 4.25B | 4.07B | 3.46B | 2.72B | 2.35B | 2.03B | 2.22B | 1.87B | 1.28B | 896.7M | 607.7M | 514.7M |
| Revenue Growth % | -1.13% | 6.66% | -2.52% | 3.21% | -49.42% | -37.56% | 3.67% | 17.77% | 1.98% | 7.62% | -1.5% | -10.26% | 4.67% | 9.5% | 0.61% | 3.6% | -6.39% | -16.52% | 17.78% | 4.35% | 17.81% | 27.07% | 15.61% | 15.78% | -8.64% | 18.68% | 46.4% | 42.72% | 47.56% | 18.07% | 10.86% |
| Cost of Goods Sold | 1.05B | 1.47B | 1.19B | 1.28B | 1.26B | 2.77B | 4.49B | 4.4B | 3.74B | 3.64B | 3.35B | 3.57B | 3.59B | 3.39B | 3.13B | 636.7M | 3.01B | 805.4M | 1.1B | 662.61M | 340.76M | 392.78M | 314.54M | 246.21M | 148.54M | 586.75M | 688.39M | 401M | 208.7M | 122.7M | 92.9M |
| COGS % of Revenue | - | 78.41% | 67.47% | 71.25% | 71.95% | 80.1% | 81.07% | 82.51% | 82.55% | 81.93% | 81.18% | 85.1% | 76.83% | 76.06% | 76.78% | 15.72% | 76.91% | 19.28% | 22.05% | 15.6% | 8.37% | 11.37% | 11.57% | 10.47% | 7.31% | 26.39% | 36.74% | 31.33% | 23.27% | 20.19% | 18.05% |
| Gross Profit | 776.5M | 404.9M | 571.94M | 518.53M | 490.06M | 687.28M | 1.05B | 933.38M | 790.6M | 802.9M | 777.2M | 624.5M | 1.08B | 1.07B | 946.3M | 3.41B | 902.92M | 3.37B | 3.9B | 3.59B | 3.73B | 3.06B | 2.4B | 2.11B | 1.88B | 1.64B | 1.19B | 878.8M | 688M | 485M | 421.8M |
| Gross Margin % | 42.42% | 21.59% | 32.53% | 28.75% | 28.05% | 19.9% | 18.93% | 17.49% | 17.45% | 18.07% | 18.82% | 14.9% | 23.17% | 23.94% | 23.22% | 84.28% | 23.09% | 80.72% | 77.95% | 84.4% | 91.63% | 88.63% | 88.43% | 89.53% | 92.69% | 73.61% | 63.26% | 68.67% | 76.73% | 79.81% | 81.95% |
| Gross Profit Growth % | - | -29.21% | 10.3% | 5.81% | -28.7% | -34.37% | 12.2% | 18.06% | -1.53% | 3.31% | 24.45% | -42.29% | 1.32% | 12.87% | -72.28% | 278.08% | -73.22% | -13.56% | 8.78% | -3.88% | 21.79% | 27.36% | 14.19% | 11.84% | 15.04% | 38.1% | 34.87% | 27.73% | 41.86% | 14.98% | 14.31% |
| Operating Expenses | 465.7M | 114.5M | 306.29M | 293.58M | 289.19M | 356.23M | 502.35M | 452.16M | 388.9M | 374.2M | 368.1M | 370.4M | 594M | 575.2M | 535.3M | 3.01B | 492.2M | 2.9B | 3.39B | 3.03B | 3.2B | 2.61B | 2.08B | 1.79B | 1.62B | 1.36B | 968.29M | 719M | 617M | 373.5M | 310.4M |
| OpEx % of Revenue | - | 6.11% | 17.42% | 16.28% | 16.55% | 10.31% | 9.08% | 8.47% | 8.58% | 8.42% | 8.92% | 8.84% | 12.72% | 12.89% | 13.13% | 74.25% | 12.59% | 69.54% | 67.71% | 71.29% | 78.55% | 75.67% | 76.64% | 76.27% | 79.59% | 61.32% | 51.68% | 56.18% | 68.81% | 61.46% | 60.31% |
| Selling, General & Admin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.73M | 0 | 1.78M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SG&A % of Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.04% | - | 0.04% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R&D % of Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Other Operating Expenses | 4M | 114.5M | 306.29M | 293.58M | 289.19M | 356.23M | 502.35M | 452.16M | -200K | 4.1M | 5M | 19.3M | 10M | 6.8M | 6.6M | 516.32M | 492.2M | 2.9B | 3.39B | 3.03B | 3.2B | 2.61B | 2.08B | 1.79B | 1.62B | 1.36B | 968.29M | 719M | 617M | 373.5M | 310.4M |
| Operating Income | 310.8M | 290.4M | 265.64M | 224.94M | 200.87M | 331.05M | 544.92M | 481.22M | 401.7M | 428.7M | 409.1M | 254.1M | 488.2M | 492.9M | 19.2M | 406.4M | 410.73M | -153.1M | 512.04M | 557.12M | 532.24M | 448.03M | 320.72M | 312.07M | 266.12M | 273.27M | 216.99M | 159.8M | 71M | 111.5M | 111.4M |
| Operating Margin % | 16.98% | 15.49% | 15.11% | 12.47% | 11.5% | 9.58% | 9.85% | 9.02% | 8.86% | 9.65% | 9.91% | 6.06% | 10.45% | 11.05% | 0.47% | 10.03% | 10.51% | -3.67% | 10.23% | 13.12% | 13.07% | 12.97% | 11.79% | 13.27% | 13.1% | 12.29% | 11.58% | 12.49% | 7.92% | 18.35% | 21.64% |
| Operating Income Growth % | - | 9.32% | 18.09% | 11.98% | -39.32% | -39.25% | 13.24% | 19.8% | -6.3% | 4.79% | 61% | -47.95% | -0.95% | 2467.19% | -95.28% | -1.05% | 368.27% | -129.9% | -8.09% | 4.68% | 18.8% | 39.69% | 2.77% | 17.27% | -2.62% | 25.94% | 35.79% | 125.07% | -36.32% | 0.09% | 23.09% |
| EBITDA | 474.79M | 497.1M | 465.72M | 415.39M | 389.43M | 529.29M | 830.02M | 737.24M | 621.9M | 636.19M | 625.42M | 481.83M | 889.57M | 879.76M | 378.4M | 749.79M | 739.57M | 177.44M | 878.06M | 859.05M | 803.82M | 676.68M | 529.49M | 500.41M | 424.08M | 413.19M | 327.88M | 232M | 137.9M | 173.3M | 195.2M |
| EBITDA Margin % | 25.94% | 26.51% | 26.49% | 23.03% | 22.29% | 15.32% | 15% | 13.81% | 13.72% | 14.32% | 15.15% | 11.5% | 19.05% | 19.71% | 9.29% | 18.51% | 18.92% | 4.25% | 17.55% | 20.22% | 19.75% | 19.58% | 19.47% | 21.27% | 20.87% | 18.58% | 17.5% | 18.13% | 15.38% | 28.52% | 37.92% |
| EBITDA Growth % | -0.33% | 6.74% | 12.12% | 6.67% | -26.42% | -36.23% | 12.59% | 18.55% | -2.24% | 1.72% | 29.8% | -45.84% | 1.12% | 132.49% | -49.53% | 1.38% | 316.8% | -79.79% | 2.21% | 6.87% | 18.79% | 27.8% | 5.81% | 18% | 2.64% | 26.02% | 41.33% | 68.24% | -20.43% | -11.22% | 33.24% |
| D&A (Non-Cash Add-back) | 157.79M | 206.7M | 200.08M | 190.45M | 188.56M | 198.24M | 285.1M | 256.02M | 220.21M | 207.49M | 216.32M | 227.73M | 401.37M | 386.86M | 359.2M | 343.39M | 328.84M | 330.54M | 366.02M | 301.93M | 271.58M | 228.66M | 208.77M | 188.34M | 157.96M | 139.92M | 110.89M | 72.2M | 66.9M | 61.8M | 83.8M |
| EBIT | 333M | 318.7M | 307.01M | 444.95M | 204.13M | 356.77M | 571.64M | 497.03M | 401.49M | 432.81M | 414.08M | 338.23M | 497.91M | 498.47M | 31.23M | 417.58M | 449.56M | -135.27M | 522.68M | 557.12M | 523.08M | 449.16M | 325.6M | 312.07M | 266.12M | 273.27M | 216.99M | 159.8M | 70.9M | 111.5M | 111.4M |
| Net Interest Income | -119.7M | -107.7M | -108.35M | -114.31M | -80.68M | -70.71M | -96.52M | -98.59M | -84.61M | -82.79M | -87.85M | -91.18M | -86.87M | -83.8M | -76.7M | -81.35M | -83.01M | -84.1M | -81.53M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Interest Income | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12K | 52K | 1.92M | 129K | 197K | 1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Interest Expense | 119.7M | 107.7M | 108.35M | 114.31M | 80.68M | 70.71M | 96.52M | 98.59M | 84.6M | 82.8M | 87.9M | 93.1M | 87M | 84M | 76.7M | 81.4M | 83.01M | 84.1M | 81.53M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Income/Expense | -97.5M | -79.4M | -66.98M | 115.39M | -77.42M | -44.98M | -69.81M | -82.78M | -84.85M | -74.02M | -82.68M | -72.72M | 83.95M | 94.9M | -459.17M | -70.14M | -44.18M | -694.87M | -70.89M | -44.31M | -49.07M | -26.79M | -14.49M | -30.59M | -31.44M | -19.08M | -36.31M | -26.4M | -19.3M | -26.2M | -49.8M |
| Pretax Income | 213.3M | 211M | 198.66M | 340.33M | 123.45M | 286.07M | 475.12M | 398.44M | 316.9M | 350M | 326.2M | 180.3M | 411.2M | 415.6M | -45.5M | 336.2M | 366.55M | -219.4M | 441.15M | 512.81M | 483.17M | 420.86M | 301.04M | 281.49M | 234.67M | 254.19M | 180.68M | 133.4M | 51.6M | 85.3M | 61.6M |
| Pretax Margin % | 11.65% | 11.25% | 11.3% | 18.87% | 7.07% | 8.28% | 8.59% | 7.47% | 6.99% | 7.88% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 9.31% | -1.12% | 8.3% | 9.38% | -5.25% | 8.82% | 12.07% | 11.87% | 12.18% | 11.07% | 11.97% | 11.55% | 11.43% | 9.64% | 10.42% | 5.75% | 14.04% | 11.97% |
| Income Tax | 18.37M | 19.6M | 17.59M | 10.21M | 6.2M | 43.54M | 84.59M | 63.28M | 47.5M | 65.1M | 93.1M | 65.6M | 120M | 136.7M | -31.2M | 110.3M | 122.53M | -96.1M | 147.48M | 190.02M | 165.25M | 145.78M | 93.97M | 98.57M | 86.23M | 98.34M | 69.65M | 49.3M | 17.5M | 30.7M | 16.1M |
| Effective Tax Rate % | 8.61% | 9.29% | 8.85% | 3% | 5.02% | 15.22% | 17.8% | 15.88% | 14.99% | 18.6% | 28.54% | 36.38% | 29.18% | 32.89% | 68.57% | 32.81% | 33.43% | 43.8% | 33.43% | 37.06% | 34.2% | 34.64% | 31.22% | 35.02% | 36.74% | 38.69% | 38.55% | 36.96% | 33.91% | 35.99% | 26.14% |
| Net Income | 196.8M | 190.4M | 281.11M | 414.71M | 367.49M | 378.13M | 390.2M | 335.45M | 272.3M | 281.1M | 64.4M | -622.4M | 298.2M | 278.9M | -700K | 213M | 240.66M | -123.3M | 293.67M | 432.12M | 315.76M | 275.08M | 207.07M | 175.32M | 148.44M | 155.85M | 111.03M | 84.1M | 34.1M | 54.6M | 45.5M |
| Net Margin % | 10.75% | 10.15% | 15.99% | 23% | 21.03% | 10.95% | 7.05% | 6.29% | 6.01% | 6.33% | 1.56% | -14.85% | 6.38% | 6.25% | -0.02% | 5.26% | 6.16% | -2.95% | 5.87% | 10.17% | 7.76% | 7.96% | 7.61% | 7.45% | 7.31% | 7.01% | 5.93% | 6.57% | 3.8% | 8.98% | 8.84% |
| Net Income Growth % | -8.69% | -32.27% | -32.22% | 12.85% | -2.81% | -3.09% | 16.32% | 23.19% | -3.13% | 336.49% | 110.35% | -308.72% | 6.92% | 39942.86% | -100.33% | -11.49% | 295.18% | -141.99% | -32.04% | 36.85% | 14.79% | 32.85% | 18.11% | 18.11% | -4.75% | 40.37% | 32.02% | 146.63% | -37.55% | 20% | 9.38% |
| Net Income (Continuing) | 194.93M | 191.4M | 181.07M | 330.12M | 117.25M | 242.52M | 390.53M | 335.17M | 269.39M | 284.99M | 233.1M | 176.39M | 291.16M | 278.88M | -14.32M | 225.95M | 244.02M | -123.27M | 293.67M | 322.79M | 317.92M | 275.86M | 211.93M | 182.91M | 148.44M | 155.85M | 111.03M | 84.1M | 34.1M | 54.6M | 45.5M |
| Discontinued Operations | 799K | -1M | 100.03M | 84.59M | 250.24M | 135.61M | -322K | 287K | 2.93M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.18M | -312K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Minority Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 124.04M | 115.74M | 32.74M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| EPS (Diluted) | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.37 | 2.03 | 1.81 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.69 | 1.39 | 1.43 | 0.33 | -3.19 | 1.55 | 1.47 | -0.00 | 1.12 | 1.27 | -0.67 | 1.59 | 2.36 | 1.74 | 1.53 | 1.17 | 1.03 | 0.92 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 0.68 | 0.29 | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| EPS Growth % | -9.28% | -32.12% | -32.51% | 12.15% | -3.21% | -4.1% | 15.38% | 21.58% | -2.8% | 333.33% | 110.34% | -305.81% | 5.44% | - | -100.33% | -11.81% | 289.55% | -142.14% | -32.63% | 35.63% | 13.73% | 30.77% | 13.59% | 11.96% | -7.07% | 23.75% | 17.65% | 134.48% | -47.27% | 17.02% | 11.9% |
| EPS (Basic) | - | 0.93 | 1.38 | 2.04 | 1.81 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.69 | 1.39 | 1.44 | 0.33 | -3.19 | 1.55 | 1.47 | -0.00 | 1.12 | 1.28 | -0.67 | 1.60 | 2.37 | 1.75 | 1.54 | 1.18 | 1.05 | 0.93 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 0.68 | 0.29 | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 211.7M | 205.3M | 204.65M | 203.94M | 203.46M | 202.38M | 200.57M | 198.63M | 196.2M | 195.7M | 195.6M | 195M | 192.6M | 189.7M | 188.8M | 188.9M | 188.23M | 185.2M | 183.81M | 182.9M | 181.39M | 179.49M | 176.39M | 168.89M | 160.29M | 152.71M | 138.13M | 123.46M | 114.38M | 97.83M | 96.57M |
| Basic Shares Outstanding | 209.6M | 204.3M | 203.87M | 203.64M | 203.36M | 202.08M | 200.5M | 198.61M | 195.7M | 195.3M | 195.3M | 194.9M | 192.5M | 188.9M | 187.57M | 188.8M | 188.14M | 185.2M | 183.1M | 181.95M | 180.23M | 178.37M | 174.9M | 166.74M | 159.17M | 150.26M | 137.45M | 122.88M | 113.71M | 97.46M | 96.11M |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | - | 56.85% | 36.62% | 38.9% | 48.14% | 45.32% | 42.65% | 47.77% | 56.77% | 53.62% | 228.5% | - | 45.85% | 35.28% | - | 57.9% | 49.51% | - | 36.98% | 23.29% | 29.6% | 31.83% | 39.13% | 41.85% | 46% | 39.69% | 48.59% | 54.82% | 120.82% | 61.17% | 70.55% |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MDU stock.
For fiscal year 2025, MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) reported total revenue of $1.88B. This represents a 264.3% increase compared to $514.7M in 1996.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) is profitable, generating $190.4M in net income for the fiscal year ending 2025 with a net profit margin of 10.2%.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) reported an operating income of $290.4M, resulting in an operating profit margin of 15.5%. This margin reflects the operational efficiency of the business before interest and taxes.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) generated $404.9M in gross profit for the year, representing a gross profit margin of 21.6%. This demonstrates the company's core pricing power and production efficiency.
Key Metrics
Top Statement Risk
Regulatory lag and rate case timing
Metrics are mathematically derived from official filings.
Revenue Seasonality Masks Underlying Stability
MDU's revenue swings sharply with heating seasons, but year-over-year growth in 2026Q2 was 6.8%, suggesting modest expansion. According to the latest quarterly data, revenue reached $375.2M, reflecting a rebound from the prior year's comparable quarter.
The 10-quarter revenue series shows a clear seasonal pattern, with Q1 peaks around $600M and Q3 troughs near $300M. However, the 6.8% year-over-year growth in 2026Q2, following a 1.9% increase in 2025Q2, indicates a slight acceleration in the non-peak quarters. This may reflect customer growth in the Williston Basin and increased pipeline throughput, though the absolute revenue level remains modest relative to peers like NiSource.
Gross Margin Volatility Reflects Pass-Through Mechanics
Gross margin swung from 100% in 2026Q2 to 25% in 2026Q1, highlighting the impact of cost-of-gas adjustments. As reported in financial statements, the 2026Q2 gross margin of 100% appears anomalous, likely due to a one-time regulatory adjustment or revenue recognition timing.
The gross margin in 2026Q2 is reported at 100% with zero COGS, which is inconsistent with the utility business model. This likely indicates a data anomaly or a quarter where purchased gas costs were zero due to regulatory deferrals. Excluding that quarter, gross margins have ranged from 25% to 36%, with a declining trend from 2024Q1 (31%) to 2026Q1 (25%). This suggests that while commodity costs are generally passed through, there may be some margin compression in the distribution segment, possibly due to rate case timing or changes in sales mix.
Operating Leverage Evident in Seasonal Peaks
Operating margin expands to 19-20% in Q1 and Q4, but contracts to 8-13% in Q2 and Q3, demonstrating high fixed costs. Based on the quarterly data, 2026Q1 operating income of $115.7M on $606M revenue yields a 19.1% margin, versus 12.8% in 2026Q2.
The fixed-cost nature of utility infrastructure is clear: operating income scales disproportionately with revenue. In 2026Q1, revenue of $606M generated $115.7M operating income, while 2026Q2's $375.2M revenue produced only $47.9M. This operating leverage amplifies the seasonal revenue swings, but also means that any sustained volume growth could drive margin expansion. However, the 2026Q2 operating margin of 12.8% is below the 2025Q2 level of 8.6%, suggesting some improvement, though still below the 2024Q2 margin of 11.5%.
EPS Volatility Driven by Non-Operating Items
Net income and EPS show extreme quarterly swings, with 2026Q1 EPS of $0.39 versus 2026Q2 EPS of $0.10, despite stable operations. According to the income statement data, 2024Q3 net income of $64.6M on $289.7M revenue implies a 22.3% net margin, far above the typical 5-14% range.
The earnings quality appears low, as net income does not consistently track operating income. For example, 2024Q3 operating income was $34.8M but net income was $64.6M, suggesting a significant non-operating gain or tax benefit. Conversely, 2026Q2 operating income of $47.9M yielded only $21.3M net income, implying a high effective tax rate or other charges. Stock-based compensation is minimal, but the presence of such anomalies warrants caution when extrapolating quarterly EPS trends. Investors should focus on operating income as a cleaner measure of underlying performance.
COGS Dominates Cost Structure, But O&M Discipline Appears
Cost of goods sold averages roughly 70% of revenue in most quarters, reflecting purchased gas and electricity. As reported in the quarterly data, 2026Q1 COGS was $454.5M on $606M revenue, leaving a 25% gross margin, which is typical for a gas utility.
The primary cost driver is COGS, which includes the cost of natural gas and electricity for resale. While these costs are largely passed through to customers, the gross margin has been relatively stable in the 25-36% range (excluding the anomalous 2026Q2). SG&A and R&D are not separately disclosed, but the operating margin of 12-20% suggests that overhead is well-controlled. The company's ability to maintain operating margins despite seasonal revenue swings indicates disciplined O&M spending, though the recent trend of declining gross margins from 2024 to 2026 may signal rising purchased gas costs that are not fully recovered in rates.
Spin-Off Reshapes Income Statement Comparability
The completion of the Everus spin-off in 2025 has made historical comparisons misleading, as revenue dropped from $674.8M in 2025Q1 to $606M in 2026Q1. According to recent SEC filings, the company is now a pure-play utility, which may explain the lower revenue base.
The most significant inflection is the strategic separation of construction businesses, which has fundamentally altered the revenue and cost structure. The 10-quarter data shows a clear break: pre-spin quarters (2024Q1-2025Q1) had revenue as high as $674.8M, while post-spin quarters (2025Q2 onwards) show a lower base, with 2026Q1 at $606M. This makes year-over-year growth rates unreliable without pro-forma adjustments. The spin-off appears to have improved net margins in some quarters (e.g., 2026Q1 net margin of 13.3% vs. 2025Q1's 12.1%), but the overall earnings quality remains clouded by one-time items.
What Could Invalidate the Base Case
The reported 100% gross margin in 2026Q2 and the volatile net income raise questions about earnings sustainability. As per the income statement data, the 2026Q2 gross margin of 100% is inconsistent with the utility model, suggesting possible data anomalies or aggressive accounting.
Short-sellers might argue that the company's earnings quality is poor, given the extreme quarterly swings in net income that do not align with operating income. For instance, 2024Q3 net income of $64.6M on operating income of $34.8M implies a non-operating gain that may not recur. Additionally, the declining gross margin trend from 2024 to 2026 could indicate that the company is not fully recovering purchased gas costs, which could compress margins if commodity prices rise. The spin-off also introduces comparability issues, and the market may be overestimating the stability of the remaining utility operations. Investors should monitor regulatory decisions and the sustainability of the pipeline segment's growth.