Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$48.79
Price Target
$36.00
Target Range
$17.00 — $63.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E—
Trailing P/E-6.7x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+1.3%
Median Target$35.00
Analyst Spread127.8%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$17
-65.2%
Consensus
$36
-26.2%
Bull Case
$63
+29.1%
MRNA Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $36.00, based on estimates from 27 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $48.79, this represents a potential downside of -26.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $19.35B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $17.00 to a high of $63.00, representing a 128% spread in expectations. The median target of $35.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, MRNA trades at a trailing P/E of -6.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +1.3% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Healthcare stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+62.1%
Avg Forward P/E17.0x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BNTXBioNTech SE | $23.9B | $95.26 | $137.13 | +44.0% | Buy | — | 24 |
 NVAXNovavax, Inc. | $1.5B | $9.36 | $18.00 | +92.3% | Buy | — | 23 |
 CVACCureVac N.V. | $1.0B | $4.66 | $21.00 | +350.6% | Hold | — | 8 |
 PFEPfizer Inc. | $150.8B | $26.50 | $27.27 | +2.9% | Hold | 9.0x | 39 |
 JNJJohnson & Johnson | $541.3B | $224.62 | $249.27 | +11.0% | Buy | 19.4x | 40 |
 AZNAstraZeneca PLC | $286.7B | $184.92 | $211.00 | +14.1% | Buy | 18.0x | 41 |
 GILDGilead Sciences, Inc. | $169.8B | $136.30 | $161.88 | +18.8% | Buy | 15.9x | 58 |
 REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | $74.9B | $720.78 | $865.68 | +20.1% | Buy | 15.6x | 48 |
 VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | $108.8B | $427.65 | $552.27 | +29.1% | Buy | 22.3x | 56 |
 TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | $175.8B | $472.95 | $654.67 | +38.4% | Buy | 19.0x | 42 |
Upside Potential Comparison
CVACNVAXBNTXTMOVRTXREGNGILDAZNFull MRNA Stock Analysis
Analyst consensus, bull case, AI-generated risk factors, and peer comparison — all in one place.
See MRNA's True Return
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorIs MRNA Undervalued?
DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.
View ValuationCompare MRNA vs DBVT
Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs DBV Technologies S.A..
Start ComparisonMRNA — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MRNA stock.
What is the MRNA stock price target for 2026?
MRNA's consensus price target is $36, -26.2% below the current price of $48.79. The 27 analysts tracking MRNA see downside risk at present valuations.
Is MRNA a buy, sell, or hold?
MRNA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 27 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 15 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $36 implies -26.2% downside from current levels.
Is MRNA stock overvalued or undervalued?
MRNA's current price is $48.79 with a consensus target of $36 (-26.2% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is overvalued at current levels.
How high can MRNA stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $63 for MRNA, while the most conservative target is $17. The consensus of $36 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MRNA stock?
MRNA is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 27 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MRNA stock forecast?
The 12-month MRNA stock forecast based on 27 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $36, with estimates ranging from $17 (bear case) to $63 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold".
Should I buy MRNA stock?
Analysts are cautious on MRNA, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $36 (-26.2% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MRNA price targets vary so much?
MRNA analyst price targets range from $17 to $63, a 128% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $36 consensus represents the middle ground.