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OCSLOaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
$11.59$1.0B
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OCSL logo

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 12 analysts

7.9% Below Target

OCSL trades 7.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $12.50.

Current Price$11.59
Average Target$12.50
Target
Current
Low$12.00
Median$12.50
High$13.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E7.7x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+167.6%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread8.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$11.59
Consensus$12.50
High$13.00
Low$12.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes OCSL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 12 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 12 published analyst recommendations for OCSL

58% hold / mixed conviction
+21
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 12 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage12 Analysts
Net Score+21
Bull / Bear42% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy542%
Hold758%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
542%
Hold
758%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix42% Buy · 58% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (5)Hold (7)Sell (0)

OCSL Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $12.50, based on estimates from 12 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $11.59, this represents a potential upside of +7.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.02B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $12.00 to a high of $13.00, representing a 8% spread in expectations. The median target of $12.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, OCSL trades at a trailing P/E of 29.7x and forward P/E of 7.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +167.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $24.57, with bear and bull scenarios of $15.48 and $32.37 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+20.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
8.2x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
ARCC logo
ARCCAres Capital Corporation
$12.9B$18.03$19.00
+5.4%
Buy9.4x32
FSCO logo
FSCOFS Credit Opportunities Corp.
$997M$4.93—————
GBDC logo
GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.
$3.2B$12.35$14.25
+15.4%
Buy9.0x12
TPVG logo
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
$203M$5.00$8.95
+79.0%
Hold5.3x12
CGBD logo
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc.
$761M$10.95$12.00
+9.6%
Hold7.9x7
SLRC logo
SLRCSLR Investment Corp.
$678M$12.42$14.50
+16.7%
Buy9.1x15
MAIN logo
MAINMain Street Capital Corporation
$4.7B$50.97$56.50
+10.8%
Hold13.4x14
HTGC logo
HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.
$2.9B$15.49$16.50
+6.5%
Buy8.0x31
PSEC logo
PSECProspect Capital Corporation
$1.1B$2.21$2.50
+13.1%
Hold4.8x20
PFLT logo
PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd.
$742M$7.48$9.75
+30.3%
Buy6.9x11

OCSL — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OCSL stock.

What is the OCSL stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for OCSL is $12.5, close to the current price of $11.59 (7.9% implied move). Based on 12 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is OCSL a buy, sell, or hold?

OCSL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 7 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $12.5 implies 7.9% upside from current levels.

Is OCSL stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 7.6857x, OCSL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $12.5 implies 7.9% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can OCSL stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $13 for OCSL, while the most conservative target is $12. The consensus of $12.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $32 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover OCSL stock?

OCSL is moderately covered, with 12 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the OCSL stock forecast?

The 12-month OCSL stock forecast based on 12 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $12.5, with estimates ranging from $12 (bear case) to $13 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $25, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$32.

What is OCSL's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates OCSL's fair value at $25 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $32. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.

What is OCSL's forward P/E ratio?

OCSL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 29.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy OCSL stock?

OCSL appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $12.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do OCSL price targets vary so much?

OCSL analyst price targets range from $12 to $13, a 8% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $12.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$32 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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