SSD trades 7.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $214.75.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SSD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 22.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $214.75, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $200.14, this represents a potential upside of +7.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $8.29B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $210.00 to a high of $220.00, representing a 5% spread in expectations. The median target of $214.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SSD trades at a trailing P/E of 24.3x and forward P/E of 22.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.57 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $233.10, with bear and bull scenarios of $146.85 and $307.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MASMasco Corporation | $15.0B | $74.38 | $82.60 | +11.1% | Buy | 17.4x | 38 |
AAONAAON, Inc. | $11.2B | $136.72 | $119.00 | -13.0% | Buy | 60.4x | 5 |
TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.9B | $47.13 | $48.43 | +2.8% | Hold | 28.1x | 31 |
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. | $5.9B | $218.25 | $252.60 | +15.7% | Hold | 21.5x | 27 |
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc. | $76.1B | $264.09 | $271.29 | +2.7% | Hold | 23.4x | 28 |
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $13.5B | $86.75 | $88.67 | +2.2% | Hold | 19.1x | 37 |
GFFGriffon Corporation | $4.2B | $91.13 | $115.00 | +26.2% | Buy | 17.5x | 7 |
ALLEAllegion plc | $11.5B | $133.57 | $162.33 | +21.5% | Hold | 15.2x | 23 |
NUENucor Corporation | $55.5B | $243.83 | $239.57 | -1.7% | Buy | 16.0x | 32 |
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $36.2B | $249.91 | $235.25 | -5.9% | Buy | 15.4x | 27 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SSD stock.
The consensus price target for SSD is $214.75, close to the current price of $200.14 (7.3% implied move). Based on 8 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
SSD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $214.75 implies 7.3% upside from current levels.
SSD trades at a forward P/E of 22.071x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $214.75 (7.3% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $220 for SSD, while the most conservative target is $210. The consensus of $214.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $307 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SSD is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SSD stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $214.75, with estimates ranging from $210 (bear case) to $220 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $233, with bear/bull scenarios of $147/$307.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SSD's fair value at $233 (base case), with a bear case of $147 and bull case of $307. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
SSD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
SSD appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $214.75 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SSD analyst price targets range from $210 to $220, a 5% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $214.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $147-$307 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.