SSD trades 23.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $216.25.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SSD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 19.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $216.25, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $175.02, this represents a potential upside of +23.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.20B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $212.00 to a high of $220.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $216.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SSD trades at a trailing P/E of 21.2x and forward P/E of 19.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.35 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -0.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $233.10, with bear and bull scenarios of $146.85 and $307.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MASMasco Corporation | $13.4B | $68.16 | $82.40 | +20.9% | Buy | 15.0x | 38 |
 AAONAAON, Inc. | $6.7B | $82.36 | $122.67 | +48.9% | Buy | 35.0x | 5 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.5B | $43.62 | $52.89 | +21.3% | Hold | 24.7x | 34 |
 IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. | $5.5B | $202.79 | $236.86 | +16.8% | Hold | 19.4x | 27 |
 ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc. | $78.7B | $273.42 | $280.71 | +2.7% | Hold | 23.9x | 28 |
 SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $13.9B | $91.76 | $92.00 | +0.3% | Hold | 20.2x | 37 |
 GFFGriffon Corporation | $4.4B | $96.59 | $122.50 | +26.8% | Buy | 17.9x | 7 |
 ALLEAllegion plc | $13.1B | $154.09 | $156.00 | +1.2% | Hold | 17.2x | 23 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $56.2B | $246.98 | $265.38 | +7.4% | Buy | 12.9x | 32 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $33.8B | $234.29 | $271.17 | +15.7% | Buy | 13.4x | 27 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SSD stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for SSD is $216.25, representing 23.6% upside from the current price of $175.02. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
SSD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $216.25 implies 23.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 18.9826x, SSD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $216.25 implies 23.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $220 for SSD, while the most conservative target is $212. The consensus of $216.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $307 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SSD is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SSD stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $216.25, with estimates ranging from $212 (bear case) to $220 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $233, with bear/bull scenarios of $147/$307.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SSD's fair value at $233 (base case), with a bear case of $147 and bull case of $307. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
SSD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SSD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $216.25 price target (23.6% upside). 4 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SSD analyst price targets range from $212 to $220, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $216.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $147-$307 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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