SSD trades 5.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $207.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SSD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 21.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $207.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $196.89, this represents a potential upside of +5.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $8.10B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $203.00 to a high of $210.00, representing a 3% spread in expectations. The median target of $207.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SSD trades at a trailing P/E of 21.1x and forward P/E of 21.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.50 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -0.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $248.22, with bear and bull scenarios of $156.38 and $327.05 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MASMasco Corporation | $16.2B | $82.22 | $83.11 | +1.1% | Buy | 17.4x | 38 |
 AAONAAON, Inc. | $4.7B | $57.19 | $122.67 | +114.5% | Buy | 24.1x | 5 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $5.7B | $54.74 | $55.00 | +0.5% | Buy | 30.9x | 35 |
 IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. | $5.9B | $220.06 | $219.22 | -0.4% | Hold | 21.4x | 28 |
 ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc. | $80.8B | $280.95 | $282.50 | +0.6% | Hold | 24.5x | 28 |
 SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $17.3B | $114.85 | $98.25 | -14.5% | Hold | 20.5x | 37 |
 GFFGriffon Corporation | $4.6B | $101.03 | $122.50 | +21.3% | Buy | 18.7x | 7 |
 ALLEAllegion plc | $15.8B | $185.39 | $181.50 | -2.1% | Hold | 20.4x | 24 |
 NUENucor Corporation | $55.8B | $244.97 | $300.63 | +22.7% | Buy | 12.4x | 33 |
 STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. | $32.1B | $222.90 | $275.17 | +23.4% | Buy | 12.6x | 27 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SSD stock.
The consensus price target for SSD is $207, close to the current price of $196.89 (5.1% implied move). Based on 8 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
SSD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $207 implies 5.1% upside from current levels.
SSD trades at a forward P/E of 21.0893x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $207 (5.1% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $210 for SSD, while the most conservative target is $203. The consensus of $207 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $327 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SSD is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SSD stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $207, with estimates ranging from $203 (bear case) to $210 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $248, with bear/bull scenarios of $156/$327.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SSD's fair value at $248 (base case), with a bear case of $156 and bull case of $327. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
SSD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.1x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
SSD appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $207 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SSD analyst price targets range from $203 to $210, a 3% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $207 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $156-$327 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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