GFF trades 21.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $122.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GFF achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 18.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Griffon Corporation (GFF) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $122.50, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $101.03, this represents a potential upside of +21.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.63B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $120.00 to a high of $125.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $122.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, GFF trades at a trailing P/E of 22.8x and forward P/E of 18.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.05 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +21.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $141.61, with bear and bull scenarios of $89.21 and $186.59 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ALLEAllegion plc | $15.8B | $185.39 | $181.50 | -2.1% | Hold | 20.4x | 24 |
 MASMasco Corporation | $16.2B | $82.22 | $83.11 | +1.1% | Buy | 17.4x | 38 |
 AAONAAON, Inc. | $4.7B | $57.19 | $122.67 | +114.5% | Buy | 24.1x | 5 |
 NCINeo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited | $289611 | $0.57 | — | — | — | — | — |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $5.7B | $54.74 | $55.00 | +0.5% | Buy | 30.9x | 35 |
 JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc. | $88M | $1.02 | $1.87 | +83.3% | Hold | — | 27 |
 AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $7.2B | $171.23 | $211.00 | +23.2% | Buy | 20.6x | 27 |
 IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. | $5.9B | $220.06 | $219.22 | -0.4% | Hold | 21.4x | 28 |
 SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $17.3B | $114.85 | $98.25 | -14.5% | Hold | 20.5x | 37 |
 HDThe Home Depot, Inc. | $342.5B | $343.47 | $378.64 | +10.2% | Buy | 22.9x | 63 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GFF stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GFF is $122.5, representing 21.3% upside from the current price of $101.03. With 7 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GFF has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $122.5 implies 21.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 18.7141x, GFF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $122.5 implies 21.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $125 for GFF, while the most conservative target is $120. The consensus of $122.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $187 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GFF is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GFF stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $122.5, with estimates ranging from $120 (bear case) to $125 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $142, with bear/bull scenarios of $89/$187.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GFF's fair value at $142 (base case), with a bear case of $89 and bull case of $187. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
GFF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 22.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GFF, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $122.5 price target (21.3% upside). 6 of 7 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GFF analyst price targets range from $120 to $125, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $122.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $89-$187 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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