Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 35 analysts8.7% Below Target
BURL trades 8.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $366.29.
Current Price$336.95
Average Target$366.29
Target
Current
Low$310.00
Median$365.00
High$435.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E34.4x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+0.6%
(Low)
Analyst Spread34.1%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes BURL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 34.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 35 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
BURL Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $366.29, based on estimates from 35 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $336.95, this represents a potential upside of +8.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $21.21B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $310.00 to a high of $435.00, representing a 34% spread in expectations. The median target of $365.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 33 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, BURL trades at a trailing P/E of 35.4x and forward P/E of 34.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +0.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $387.14, with bear and bull scenarios of $243.90 and $510.10 respectively. Model confidence stands at 59/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+13.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
21.3x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc. | $181.3B | $163.82 | $181.60 | +10.9% | Buy | 35.0x | 53 |
 ROSTRoss Stores, Inc. | $75.3B | $232.80 | $259.89 | +11.6% | Buy | 35.7x | 47 |
 OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | $4.6B | $76.91 | $118.20 | +53.7% | Buy | 19.9x | 28 |
 KSSKohl's Corporation | $1.9B | $17.25 | $12.00 | -30.4% | Hold | 12.3x | 39 |
 FIVEFive Below, Inc. | $10.7B | $194.06 | $237.73 | +22.5% | Buy | 30.4x | 50 |
 DLTRDollar Tree, Inc. | $21.5B | $111.65 | $122.53 | +9.7% | Buy | 16.1x | 49 |
 PVHPVH Corp. | $3.6B | $77.07 | $92.00 | +19.4% | Buy | 7.1x | 38 |
 HBIHanesbrands Inc. | $2.3B | $6.47 | $7.25 | +12.1% | Buy | 9.8x | 34 |
 RLRalph Lauren Corporation | $25.2B | $413.01 | $437.43 | +5.9% | Buy | 25.3x | 48 |
 VFCV.F. Corporation | $6.8B | $17.33 | $20.50 | +18.3% | Hold | 21.0x | 58 |
BURL — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BURL stock.
What is the BURL stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for BURL is $366.29, close to the current price of $336.95 (8.7% implied move). Based on 35 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is BURL a buy, sell, or hold?
BURL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 35 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 33 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $366.29 implies 8.7% upside from current levels.
Is BURL stock overvalued or undervalued?
BURL trades at a forward P/E of 34.4431x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $366.29 (8.7% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can BURL stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $435 for BURL, while the most conservative target is $310. The consensus of $366.29 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $510 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover BURL stock?
BURL is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 35 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 33 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the BURL stock forecast?
The 12-month BURL stock forecast based on 35 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $366.29, with estimates ranging from $310 (bear case) to $435 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $387, with bear/bull scenarios of $244/$510.
What is BURL's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BURL's fair value at $387 (base case), with a bear case of $244 and bull case of $510. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 59/100.
What is BURL's forward P/E ratio?
BURL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 35.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy BURL stock?
BURL appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $366.29 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do BURL price targets vary so much?
BURL analyst price targets range from $310 to $435, a 34% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $366.29 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $244-$510 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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