OLLI trades 22.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $100.80.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes OLLI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 21.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 28 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $100.80, based on estimates from 28 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $82.61, this represents a potential upside of +22.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.99B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $85.00 to a high of $124.00, representing a 39% spread in expectations. The median target of $98.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 22 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, OLLI trades at a trailing P/E of 21.2x and forward P/E of 21.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 19.13 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -14.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $98.77, with bear and bull scenarios of $62.22 and $130.14 respectively. Model confidence stands at 62/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FIVEFive Below, Inc. | $12.6B | $227.41 | $298.60 | +31.3% | Buy | 35.7x | 50 |
 GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.1B | $11.16 | $10.80 | -3.2% | Hold | 20.4x | 23 |
 DGDollar General Corporation | $26.6B | $120.56 | $135.64 | +12.5% | Buy | 15.3x | 52 |
 DLTRDollar Tree, Inc. | $21.7B | $113.16 | $139.64 | +23.4% | Buy | 14.4x | 49 |
 BURLBurlington Stores, Inc. | $16.2B | $257.33 | $383.30 | +49.0% | Buy | 26.3x | 35 |
 TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc. | $145.4B | $131.64 | $174.15 | +32.3% | Buy | 28.1x | 53 |
 ROSTRoss Stores, Inc. | $75.7B | $233.98 | $274.14 | +17.2% | Buy | 35.9x | 47 |
 WMTWalmart Inc. | $881.0B | $110.53 | $128.84 | +16.6% | Buy | 38.2x | 66 |
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.7T | $249.27 | $326.33 | +30.9% | Buy | 19.5x | 94 |
 PGThe Procter & Gamble Company | $343.4B | $147.45 | $157.78 | +7.0% | Buy | 21.1x | 53 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OLLI stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for OLLI is $100.8, representing 22.0% upside from the current price of $82.61. With 28 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
OLLI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 28 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 22 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $100.8 implies 22.0% upside from current levels.
OLLI trades at a forward P/E of 21.3468x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $100.8 (22.0% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $124 for OLLI, while the most conservative target is $85. The consensus of $100.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $130 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
OLLI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 28 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 22 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month OLLI stock forecast based on 28 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $100.8, with estimates ranging from $85 (bear case) to $124 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $99, with bear/bull scenarios of $62/$130.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates OLLI's fair value at $99 (base case), with a bear case of $62 and bull case of $130. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 62/100.
OLLI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.2x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on OLLI, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $100.8 price target (22.0% upside). 22 of 28 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
OLLI analyst price targets range from $85 to $124, a 39% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $100.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $62-$130 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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