Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$32.52
Price Target
$56.27
Target Range
$44.00 — $63.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E15.3x
Trailing P/E15.8x
Forward PEG1.52
Implied Growth+4.3%
Median Target$58.00
Analyst Spread33.8%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$44
+35.3%
Consensus
$56
+73.0%
Bull Case
$63
+93.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 67/100
Bear$30
Base$37
Bull$51
TSCO Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $56.27, based on estimates from 50 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $32.52, this represents a potential upside of +72.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $17.12B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $44.00 to a high of $63.00, representing a 34% spread in expectations. The median target of $58.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 26 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,23 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, TSCO trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and forward P/E of 15.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.52 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $37.16, with bear and bull scenarios of $30.10 and $50.84 respectively. Model confidence stands at 67/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+38.5%
Avg Forward P/E26.2x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc. | $5.2B | $171.90 | $231.50 | +39.5% | Buy | 22.6x | 29 |
 ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $79.3B | $94.78 | $110.80 | +16.6% | Buy | 29.3x | 47 |
 CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. | $31.9B | $858.14 | $688.10 | -20.2% | Buy | 47.7x | 25 |
 WINAWinmark Corporation | $1.3B | $371.53 | $445.00 | +19.6% | — | 31.3x | — |
 CHWYChewy, Inc. | $10.2B | $24.59 | $41.71 | +70.0% | Buy | 28.0x | 38 |
 SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | $7.4B | $78.26 | $91.00 | +15.6% | Buy | 14.1x | 43 |
 AGCOAGCO Corporation | $8.7B | $120.23 | $127.29 | +11.1% | Buy | 19.8x | 29 |
 VITLVital Farms, Inc. | $538M | $12.00 | $39.63 | +209.6% | Buy | 14.0x | 15 |
 DEDeere & Company | $160.4B | $591.64 | $680.54 | +18.2% | Hold | 32.3x | 46 |
 CTVACorteva, Inc. | $54.9B | $81.76 | $88.17 | +5.1% | Buy | 22.9x | 37 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonTSCO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TSCO stock.
What is the TSCO stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for TSCO is $56.27, representing 72.3% upside from the current price of $32.52. With 50 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is TSCO a buy, sell, or hold?
TSCO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 50 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 26 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $56.27 implies 72.3% upside from current levels.
Is TSCO stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 15.2989x, TSCO trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $56.27 implies 72.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can TSCO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $63 for TSCO, while the most conservative target is $44. The consensus of $56.27 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $51 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TSCO stock?
TSCO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 50 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 26 have Buy ratings, 23 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TSCO stock forecast?
The 12-month TSCO stock forecast based on 50 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $56.27, with estimates ranging from $44 (bear case) to $63 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $37, with bear/bull scenarios of $30/$51.
What is TSCO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TSCO's fair value at $37 (base case), with a bear case of $30 and bull case of $51. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 67/100.
What is TSCO's forward P/E ratio?
TSCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TSCO stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TSCO, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $56.27 price target (72.3% upside). 26 of 50 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TSCO price targets vary so much?
TSCO analyst price targets range from $44 to $63, a 34% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $56.27 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $30-$51 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.