Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $59.00, based on estimates from 50 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $51.84, this represents a potential upside of +13.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $27.39B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $50.00 to a high of $67.00, representing a 29% spread in expectations. The median target of $59.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 27 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,22 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, TSCO trades at a trailing P/E of 25.2x and forward P/E of 23.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.37 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $59.88, with bear and bull scenarios of $46.97 and $79.32 respectively. Model confidence stands at 67/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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Start ComparisonTractor Supply Company (TSCO) has a consensus 12-month price target of $59, implying 13.8% upside from $51.84. The 50 analysts covering TSCO see moderate appreciation potential.
TSCO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 50 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 27 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $59 implies 13.8% upside from current levels.
TSCO trades at a forward P/E of 23.7809x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $59 (13.8% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $67 for TSCO, while the most conservative target is $50. The consensus of $59 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $79 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TSCO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 50 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 27 have Buy ratings, 22 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TSCO stock forecast based on 50 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $59, with estimates ranging from $50 (bear case) to $67 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $60, with bear/bull scenarios of $47/$79.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TSCO's fair value at $60 (base case), with a bear case of $47 and bull case of $79. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 67/100.
TSCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 25.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on TSCO, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $59 price target (13.8% upside). 27 of 50 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TSCO analyst price targets range from $50 to $67, a 29% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $59 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $47-$79 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.