49.5% Below Target

The consensus Wall Street price target for YUMC is $61.07, representing 49.5% upside from the current price of $40.85. With 19 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

YUMC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 19 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $61.07 implies 49.5% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 14.0644x, YUMC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $61.07 implies 49.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $63.64 for YUMC, while the most conservative target is $58.5. The consensus of $61.07 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $77 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

YUMC is well covered by analysts, with 19 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month YUMC stock forecast based on 19 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $61.07, with estimates ranging from $58.5 (bear case) to $63.64 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $59, with bear/bull scenarios of $37/$77.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates YUMC's fair value at $59 (base case), with a bear case of $37 and bull case of $77. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.

YUMC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on YUMC, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $61.07 price target (49.5% upside). 14 of 19 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

YUMC analyst price targets range from $58.5 to $63.64, a 8% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $61.07 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $37-$77 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.