MODEL VERDICT
Concentrix Corporation (CNXC)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $24.53 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $26.17 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.68 | $30.00 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.68 | $28.81 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $26.12 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 6 analyst estimates | $101.53 | +313.9% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 6 industry peers | $42.19 | +72.0% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 6 industry peers | $104.55 | +326.2% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 6 industry peers | $48.61 | +98.2% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 6 industry peers | $34.61 | +41.1% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 5 industry peers | $170.33 | +594.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 5 industry peers | $238.05 | +870.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 6 industry peers | $97.97 | +299.4% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $86.82 | +253.9% | 100% | 80 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.82 | 17.23 | 11.66 | 30.94 | 7.45 |
| EV/EBIT | 16.64 | 17.37 | 12.85 | 21.00 | 3.26 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.21 | 10.02 | 5.50 | 12.24 | 2.77 |
| P/FCF | 12.88 | 12.81 | 4.58 | 25.40 | 7.48 |
| P/FFO | 8.97 | 9.25 | 2.94 | 13.58 | 4.07 |
| P/AFFO | 12.34 | 11.40 | 3.92 | 18.86 | 6.01 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.87 | 1.75 | 0.70 | 3.54 | 1.09 |
| Div Yield | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.86 | 0.91 | 0.27 | 1.66 | 0.53 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 21 valuation metrics, the model estimates CNXC's fair value at $86.82 vs the current price of $24.53, implying +253.9% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 80/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $86.82 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $74.37 (P10) to $98.32 (P90), with a median of $86.06.
CNXC's current P/E of -1.2x compares to the industry median of 14.8x (6 peers in the group). This represents a -108.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 19.8x over 5 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
9 analysts cover CNXC with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $52.00 (range: $52.00 — $52.00), implying +112.0% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (7), Hold (2), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 80/100, based on: data completeness (21), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (8), and model agreement (10). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for CNXC.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.