Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$6.21
→
Intrinsic$43.11
+594%
$29.28$43.11$69.36
Market implies 1% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests GTM could have 594% upside at 25% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $6, the market prices in only 1% growth — below historical 25%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $29 → Bull $69. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 21% | 23% | 25% | 27% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $53 | $57 | $62 | $67 |
| 10% | $37 | $40 | $43 | $46 |
| 12% | $28 | $30 | $33 | $35 |
| 14% | $23 | $24 | $26 | $28 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($69) offers 1017% upside at 30% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (1%) ≤ historical CAGR (25%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($29) with 20% growth, 12% discount rate
- Using 25% growth — aggressive, watch for mean reversion
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$486.00M
Year 2$607.50M
Year 3$759.38M
Year 4$949.22M
Year 5$1.19B
Terminal$17.46B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate25.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$388.80MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.