MODEL VERDICT
WillScot Holdings Corporation (WSC)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $22.69 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $22.66 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $20.23 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $19.06 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.65 | $18.66 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 7 analyst estimates | $25.05 | +10.4% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 7 industry peers | $40.06 | +76.6% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 7 industry peers | $119.85 | +428.2% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 7 industry peers | $29.22 | +28.8% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 7 industry peers | $105.09 | +363.2% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 7 industry peers | $18.44 | -18.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 7 industry peers | $34.52 | +52.1% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 7 industry peers | $119.68 | +427.5% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $54.06 | +138.2% | 100% | 77 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 85.34 | 59.19 | 18.86 | 223.00 | 81.93 |
| EV/EBIT | 38.48 | 42.18 | 18.97 | 55.23 | 13.60 |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.47 | 15.54 | 8.23 | 20.05 | 3.78 |
| P/FCF | 26.97 | 29.84 | 4.66 | 41.17 | 14.19 |
| P/FFO | 16.01 | 14.64 | 9.11 | 29.25 | 6.78 |
| P/TBV | 26.99 | 13.98 | 5.79 | 74.22 | 31.86 |
| P/AFFO | 36.62 | 41.01 | 9.74 | 56.14 | 20.71 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.77 | 4.76 | 1.99 | 7.12 | 1.93 |
| P/S Ratio | 3.35 | 3.23 | 1.51 | 5.68 | 1.50 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 21 valuation metrics, the model estimates WSC's fair value at $54.06 vs the current price of $22.69, implying +138.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 77/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $54.06 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $44.11 (P10) to $74.17 (P90), with a median of $58.66.
WSC's current P/E of -78.2x compares to the industry median of 24.0x (6 peers in the group). This represents a -426.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 85.3x over 5 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
13 analysts cover WSC with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $23.67 (range: $23.00 — $25.00), implying +4.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (7), Hold (6), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 77/100, based on: data completeness (21), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (7). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for WSC.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.