Independent Power Producers
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5 / 10Stock Comparison
NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Renewable Utilities
Independent Power Producers
Regulated Electric
Regulated Electric
NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Independent Power Producers | Renewable Utilities | Independent Power Producers | Regulated Electric | Regulated Electric |
| Market Cap | $30.41B | $97.23B | $52.15B | $45.43B | $97.33B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $32.38B | $25.53B | $17.20B | $24.79B | $33.29B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $239M | $2.32B | $2.19B | $2.78B | $5.14B |
| Gross Margin | 14.5% | 75.8% | 6.5% | 29.5% | 58.4% |
| Operating Margin | 3.2% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 21.0% | 27.0% |
| Forward P/E | 15.5x | 26.8x | 18.0x | 15.6x | 18.6x |
| Total Debt | $16.77B | $8.99B | $20.39B | $50.55B | $90.87B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $4.74B | $3.75B | $816M | $1.15B | $245M |
NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) | 100 | 354.9 | +254.9% |
| Constellation Energ… (CEG) | 100 | 648.5 | +548.5% |
| Vistra Corp. (VST) | 100 | 706.3 | +606.3% |
| Exelon Corporation (EXC) | 100 | 107.5 | +7.5% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 100 | 118.8 | +18.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NRG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.84, yield 1.5%
- Rev growth 9.2%, EPS growth -19.6%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.9%
- 9.2% revenue growth vs VST's -12.4%
- Lower P/E (15.5x vs 15.6x), PEG 1.09 vs 2.44
CEG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if sleep-well-at-night and defensive is your priority.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.44, Low D/E 60.5%, current ratio 1.53x
- Beta 1.44, yield 0.5%, current ratio 1.53x
- Beta 1.44 vs NRG's 1.84, lower leverage
VST ranks third and is worth considering specifically for long-term compounding.
- 9.4% 10Y total return vs NRG's 8.7%
- 7.4% ROA vs NRG's 0.8%, ROIC 4.3% vs 10.6%
Among these 5 stocks, EXC doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
DUK is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.63 vs EXC's 2.44
- 15.4% margin vs NRG's 0.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.2% revenue growth vs VST's -12.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.5x vs 15.6x), PEG 1.09 vs 2.44 | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.4% margin vs NRG's 0.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.44 vs NRG's 1.84, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.5% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs EXC's 3.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +21.0% vs EXC's -0.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.4% ROA vs NRG's 0.8%, ROIC 4.3% vs 10.6% |
NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
DUK leads in 2 of 6 categories
CEG leads 1 • VST leads 1 • NRG leads 0 • EXC leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DUK leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DUK is the larger business by revenue, generating $33.3B annually — 1.9x VST's $17.2B. DUK is the more profitable business, keeping 15.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NRG's 0.7%. On growth, NRG holds the edge at +19.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $32.4B | $25.5B | $17.2B | $24.8B | $33.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.1B | $4.7B | $3.1B | $8.9B | $15.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $239M | $2.3B | $2.2B | $2.8B | $5.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$7.7B | $1.3B | $2.0B | -$2.2B | $6.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +14.5% | +75.8% | +6.5% | +29.5% | +58.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +12.1% | +7.6% | +21.0% | +27.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.7% | +9.1% | +12.7% | +11.2% | +15.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -23.7% | +5.0% | +11.7% | -8.7% | +19.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.5% | +1.4% | +9.1% | +7.9% | +11.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -85.6% | -49.1% | +100.0% | 0.0% | +11.9% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NRG and EXC each lead in 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.2x trailing earnings, EXC trades at a 77% valuation discount to VST's 69.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), DUK offers better value at 0.67x vs VST's 6.23x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $30.4B | $97.2B | $52.2B | $45.4B | $97.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $42.4B | $102.5B | $71.7B | $94.8B | $188.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 35.34x | 42.06x | 69.70x | 16.21x | 19.79x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.46x | 26.83x | 17.95x | 15.57x | 18.64x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.50x | 1.29x | 6.23x | 2.54x | 0.67x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.15x | 25.17x | 16.74x | 10.79x | 12.61x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.99x | 3.81x | 3.07x | 1.87x | 3.02x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 16.78x | 6.58x | 10.24x | 1.56x | 1.83x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 39.70x | 75.49x | 404.28x | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
CEG leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VST delivers a 57.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $58 in annual profit, vs $9 for NRG. CEG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NRG's 9.97x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CEG scores 7/9 vs VST's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.8% | +15.6% | +57.8% | +9.8% | +9.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.8% | +4.1% | +7.4% | +2.4% | +2.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.6% | +11.9% | +4.3% | +5.1% | +4.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.2% | +6.5% | +4.5% | +5.0% | +5.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.97x | 0.61x | 3.99x | 1.76x | 1.71x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $12.0B | $5.2B | $19.6B | $49.4B | $90.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4.7B | $3.7B | $816M | $1.2B | $245M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $16.8B | $9.0B | $20.4B | $50.6B | $90.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.40x | 6.04x | 1.95x | 2.42x | 2.57x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
VST leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in VST five years ago would be worth $98,469 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,401 for DUK. Over the past 12 months, NRG leads with a +21.0% total return vs EXC's -0.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VST at 88.5% vs EXC's 4.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -14.1% | -14.9% | -6.6% | +2.1% | +7.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +21.0% | +16.7% | +11.1% | -0.7% | +5.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +369.0% | +300.9% | +570.1% | +14.6% | +38.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +330.5% | +653.2% | +884.7% | +61.8% | +44.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +870.6% | +653.2% | +942.3% | +125.0% | +104.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +67.4% | +58.9% | +88.5% | +4.7% | +11.6% |
Risk & Volatility
DUK leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DUK is the less volatile stock with a -0.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NRG's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DUK currently trades 92.8% from its 52-week high vs VST's 70.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.84x | 1.44x | 1.56x | -0.14x | -0.24x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $189.96 | $412.70 | $219.82 | $50.65 | $134.49 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $115.48 | $243.30 | $133.73 | $41.71 | $111.22 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +74.6% | +75.4% | +70.1% | +87.7% | +92.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.4 | 60.7 | 49.5 | 33.7 | 40.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 2.8M | 4.1M | 8.3M | 3.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NRG and EXC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NRG as "Buy", CEG as "Buy", VST as "Buy", EXC as "Hold", DUK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 47.7% upside for VST (target: $228) vs 8.5% for DUK (target: $135). For income investors, EXC offers the higher dividend yield at 3.60% vs CEG's 0.50%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $194.00 | $405.33 | $227.60 | $49.18 | $135.44 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 19 | 21 | 35 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +3.6% | +3.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.07 | $1.55 | $0.90 | $1.60 | $4.25 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.6% | +0.4% | +2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
DUK leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Risk & Volatility). CEG leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
NRG vs CEG vs VST vs EXC vs DUK: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) is the stronger pick with 9. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 4% for Vistra Corp. (VST). Exelon Corporation (EXC) offers the better valuation at 16. 2x trailing P/E (15. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK?
On trailing P/E, Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the cheapest at 16.
2x versus Vistra Corp. at 69. 7x. On forward P/E, NRG Energy, Inc. is actually cheaper at 15. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Duke Energy Corporation wins at 0. 63x versus Exelon Corporation's 2. 44x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK?
Over the past 5 years, Vistra Corp.
(VST) delivered a total return of +884. 7%, compared to +44. 0% for Duke Energy Corporation (DUK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: VST returned +942. 3% versus DUK's +104. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
24β versus NRG Energy, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning NRG is approximately -855% more volatile than DUK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 61% versus 10% for NRG Energy, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG) is pulling ahead at 9. 2% versus -12. 4% for Vistra Corp. (VST). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Exelon Corporation grew EPS 11. 8% year-over-year, compared to -68. 4% for Vistra Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, EXC leads at 8. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK?
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the more profitable company, earning 15.
4% net margin versus 2. 8% for NRG Energy, Inc. — meaning it keeps 15. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DUK leads at 26. 6% versus 6. 0% for NRG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CEG leads at 75. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus Exelon Corporation's 2. 44x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) trades at 15. 5x forward P/E versus 26. 8x for Constellation Energy Corporation — 11. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for VST: 47. 7% to $227. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Exelon Corporation (EXC) offers the highest yield at 3. 6%, versus 0. 5% for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG).
09Is NRG or CEG or VST or EXC or DUK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
24), 3. 4% yield, +104. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DUK: +104. 1%, CEG: +653. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NRG and CEG and VST and EXC and DUK?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NRG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CEG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; VST is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; EXC is a mid-cap deep-value stock; DUK is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. NRG, VST, EXC, DUK pay a dividend while CEG does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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