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ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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Integrated Freight & Logistics
ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Trucking | Trucking | Trucking | Trucking | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $41.28B | $11.97B | $2.72B | $2.18B | $24.28B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.50B | $3.25B | $4.04B | $2.97B | $8.30B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.02B | $255M | $56M | $-14M | $348M |
| Gross Margin | 32.2% | 18.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% |
| Operating Margin | 24.8% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 9.1% |
| Forward P/E | 37.7x | 42.3x | 23.6x | 39.8x | 43.9x |
| Total Debt | $141M | $418M | $669M | $752M | $4.70B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $120M | $20M | $102M | $60M | $310M |
ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Freigh… (ODFL) | 100 | 231.5 | +131.5% |
| Saia, Inc. (SAIA) | 100 | 414.0 | +314.0% |
| ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) | 100 | 543.9 | +443.9% |
| Werner Enterprises,… (WERN) | 100 | 78.7 | -21.3% |
| XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) | 100 | 758.7 | +658.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ODFL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for quality and dividends.
- 18.6% margin vs WERN's -0.5%
- 0.6% yield, 10-year raise streak, vs WERN's 1.5%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
- 18.5% ROA vs WERN's -0.5%, ROIC 23.6% vs 2.5%
Among these 5 stocks, SAIA doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
ARCB is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and momentum is your priority.
- Lower P/E (23.6x vs 39.8x)
- +107.5% vs ODFL's +28.0%
WERN ranks third and is worth considering specifically for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 1.24, yield 1.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.24, Low D/E 54.1%, current ratio 1.94x
- Beta 1.24, yield 1.5%, current ratio 1.94x
- Beta 1.24 vs ARCB's 1.90
XPO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 1.1%, EPS growth -18.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.9%
- 21.5% 10Y total return vs SAIA's 15.7%
- PEG 1.59 vs ODFL's 3.36
- 1.1% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.6x vs 39.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.6% margin vs WERN's -0.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.24 vs ARCB's 1.90 | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield, 10-year raise streak, vs WERN's 1.5%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +107.5% vs ODFL's +28.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.5% ROA vs WERN's -0.5%, ROIC 23.6% vs 2.5% |
ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ODFL leads in 2 of 6 categories
XPO leads 1 • SAIA leads 0 • ARCB leads 0 • WERN leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XPO is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.3B annually — 2.8x WERN's $3.0B. ODFL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WERN's -0.5%. On growth, XPO holds the edge at +7.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.5B | $3.3B | $4.0B | $3.0B | $8.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.7B | $602M | $217M | $343M | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.0B | $255M | $56M | -$14M | $348M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $955M | $261M | $169M | -$69M | $457M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.2% | +18.4% | +4.1% | +8.3% | +12.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +24.8% | +10.8% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +9.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.6% | +7.8% | +1.4% | -0.5% | +4.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.4% | +8.0% | +4.2% | -2.3% | +5.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.7% | +2.4% | +3.3% | -2.3% | +7.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.4% | 0.0% | -138.5% | -3.4% | +49.1% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — ARCB and WERN each lead in 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 41.0x trailing earnings, ODFL trades at a 48% valuation discount to XPO's 78.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), XPO offers better value at 2.84x vs SAIA's 3.67x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $41.3B | $12.0B | $2.7B | $2.2B | $24.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $41.3B | $12.4B | $3.3B | $2.9B | $28.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 41.01x | 47.16x | 46.48x | -151.58x | 78.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 37.69x | 42.28x | 23.61x | 39.79x | 43.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.66x | 3.67x | — | — | 2.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.93x | 20.59x | 12.59x | 8.07x | 22.94x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.51x | 3.70x | 0.68x | 0.73x | 2.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 9.64x | 4.67x | 2.16x | 1.59x | 13.22x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 43.22x | 438.03x | 23.78x | — | 73.80x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL delivers a 24.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-1 for WERN. ODFL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to XPO's 2.53x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ODFL scores 6/9 vs ARCB's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +24.0% | +10.0% | +4.3% | -1.0% | +19.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +18.5% | +7.3% | +2.3% | -0.5% | +4.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +23.6% | +9.4% | +3.9% | +2.5% | +9.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.1% | +11.5% | +5.1% | +2.6% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 0.16x | 0.52x | 0.54x | 2.53x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $21M | $398M | $567M | $692M | $4.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $120M | $20M | $102M | $60M | $310M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $141M | $418M | $669M | $752M | $4.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4601.85x | 23.88x | 6.58x | 0.47x | 3.21x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
XPO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in XPO five years ago would be worth $40,679 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,100 for WERN. Over the past 12 months, ARCB leads with a +107.5% total return vs ODFL's +28.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors XPO at 62.2% vs WERN's -5.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +24.6% | +33.1% | +58.0% | +19.8% | +49.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +28.0% | +72.7% | +107.5% | +45.8% | +88.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +29.1% | +56.0% | +40.5% | -16.5% | +326.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +50.0% | +83.3% | +37.1% | -19.0% | +306.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +841.8% | +1567.7% | +627.8% | +78.1% | +2145.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +8.9% | +16.0% | +12.0% | -5.8% | +62.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SAIA and WERN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WERN is the less volatile stock with a 1.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARCB's 1.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SAIA currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs ODFL's 84.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.38x | 1.90x | 1.90x | 1.24x | 1.73x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $233.79 | $457.99 | $135.10 | $38.46 | $231.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $126.01 | $248.37 | $58.16 | $23.06 | $108.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.7% | +98.0% | +90.1% | +94.6% | +89.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 45.2 | 60.4 | 60.5 | 65.9 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 523K | 307K | 1.0M | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ODFL and WERN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ODFL as "Hold", SAIA as "Buy", ARCB as "Buy", WERN as "Hold", XPO as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 5.1% upside for ODFL (target: $208) vs -5.9% for SAIA (target: $423). For income investors, WERN offers the higher dividend yield at 1.55% vs ARCB's 0.39%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $208.19 | $422.67 | $117.14 | $36.10 | $209.07 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 32 | 24 | 36 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.6% | — | +0.4% | +1.5% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 10 | — | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.12 | — | $0.48 | $0.56 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.8% | +0.1% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +0.5% |
ODFL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). XPO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB vs WERN vs XPO: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is the stronger pick with 1. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) offers the better valuation at 41. 0x trailing P/E (37. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Saia, Inc. (SAIA) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO?
On trailing P/E, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the cheapest at 41. 0x versus XPO Logistics, Inc. at 78. 3x. On forward P/E, ArcBest Corporation is actually cheaper at 23. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: XPO Logistics, Inc. wins at 1. 59x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 36x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO?
Over the past 5 years, XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) delivered a total return of +306. 8%, compared to -19. 0% for Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: XPO returned +21. 5% versus WERN's +78. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Werner Enterprises, Inc.
(WERN) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 24β versus ArcBest Corporation's 1. 90β — meaning ARCB is approximately 54% more volatile than WERN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 3% for XPO Logistics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), XPO Logistics, Inc.
(XPO) is pulling ahead at 1. 1% versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. grew EPS -11. 9% year-over-year, compared to -143. 6% for Werner Enterprises, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SAIA leads at 5. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO?
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the more profitable company, earning 18. 6% net margin versus -0. 5% for Werner Enterprises, Inc. — meaning it keeps 18. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ODFL leads at 24. 8% versus 2. 3% for ARCB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ODFL leads at 32. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 59x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 36x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) trades at 23. 6x forward P/E versus 43. 9x for XPO Logistics, Inc. — 20. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ODFL: 5. 1% to $208. 19.
08Which pays a better dividend — ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO?
In this comparison, WERN (1.
5% yield), ODFL (0. 6% yield), ARCB (0. 4% yield) pay a dividend. SAIA, XPO do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is ODFL or SAIA or ARCB or WERN or XPO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +841. 8% 10Y return). XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) carries a higher beta of 1. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ODFL: +841. 8%, XPO: +21. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ODFL and SAIA and ARCB and WERN and XPO?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
ODFL, WERN pay a dividend while SAIA, ARCB, XPO do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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