ASIC trades 6.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $25.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ASIC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 12.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 1, 2026, Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC (ASIC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $25.50, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $24.04, this represents a potential upside of +6.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.15B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $25.00 to a high of $26.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $25.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, ASIC trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x and forward P/E of 12.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +8.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $24.91, with bear and bull scenarios of $15.69 and $32.82 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JRVRJames River Group Holdings, Ltd. | $202M | $4.40 | $5.88 | +33.6% | Hold | 5.3x | 14 |
HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $792M | $26.08 | $36.00 | +38.0% | Buy | 6.0x | 9 |
ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $33.9B | $97.06 | $102.57 | +5.7% | Buy | 10.4x | 34 |
RLIRLI Corp. | $5.4B | $59.07 | $56.33 | -4.6% | Hold | 21.4x | 12 |
KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc. | $7.6B | $329.81 | $433.00 | +31.3% | Hold | 15.9x | 13 |
SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | $2.4B | $58.41 | $67.33 | +15.3% | Buy | 11.9x | 11 |
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation | $26.3B | $70.53 | $69.10 | -2.0% | Hold | 15.1x | 30 |
HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. | $36.4B | $132.52 | $150.38 | +13.5% | Buy | 10.3x | 42 |
MKLMarkel Corporation | $24.4B | $1953.01 | $1950.00 | -0.2% | Hold | 17.6x | 15 |
ERIEErie Indemnity Company | $11.1B | $239.75 | — | — | — | 18.9x | — |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ASIC stock.
The consensus price target for ASIC is $25.5, close to the current price of $24.04 (6.1% implied move). Based on 4 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
ASIC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $25.5 implies 6.1% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 12.0926x, ASIC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $25.5 implies 6.1% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $26 for ASIC, while the most conservative target is $25. The consensus of $25.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $33 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ASIC is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ASIC stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $25.5, with estimates ranging from $25 (bear case) to $26 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $25, with bear/bull scenarios of $16/$33.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ASIC's fair value at $25 (base case), with a bear case of $16 and bull case of $33. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
ASIC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
ASIC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $25.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ASIC analyst price targets range from $25 to $26, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $25.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $16-$33 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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