The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 9 analysts35.0% Below Target
BWIN trades 35.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $27.33.
Current Price$23.52
Average Target$27.33
Target
Current
Low$20.00
Median$27.00
High$35.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E10.1x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+529.3%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread54.9%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes BWIN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
BWIN Price Target Analysis
Updated June 23, 2026As of June 23, 2026, The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $27.33, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $23.52, this represents a potential upside of +35.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.76B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $20.00 to a high of $35.00, representing a 55% spread in expectations. The median target of $27.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, BWIN trades at a trailing P/E of -47.0x and forward P/E of 10.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +529.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $8.49, with bear and bull scenarios of $5.35 and $11.18 respectively. Model confidence stands at 62/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+20.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
14.1x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | $4.3B | $33.26 | $38.38 | +9.8% | Hold | 17.1x | 19 |
 AONAon plc | $67.2B | $313.63 | $395.40 | +24.4% | Buy | 16.6x | 38 |
 MMCMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | $85.3B | $174.06 | $210.40 | +20.9% | Hold | 16.9x | 26 |
 WTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | $23.8B | $252.97 | $334.69 | +31.1% | Buy | 13.1x | 29 |
 BROBrown & Brown, Inc. | $19.8B | $58.24 | $88.00 | +48.9% | Hold | 13.1x | 30 |
 AJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | $53.8B | $209.08 | $260.82 | +21.8% | Buy | 16.1x | 29 |
 ERIEErie Indemnity Company | $9.8B | $211.65 | — | — | — | 17.5x | — |
 ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $32.8B | $92.04 | $102.57 | +12.5% | Buy | 9.8x | 34 |
 HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. | $35.6B | $129.50 | $151.56 | +18.2% | Buy | 10.0x | 42 |
 TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | $67.2B | $310.61 | $310.40 | +0.8% | Hold | 11.0x | 43 |
BWIN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BWIN stock.
What is the BWIN stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for BWIN is $27.33, representing 35.0% upside from the current price of $23.52. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is BWIN a buy, sell, or hold?
BWIN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $27.33 implies 35.0% upside from current levels.
Is BWIN stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 10.0536x, BWIN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $27.33 implies 35.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can BWIN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $35 for BWIN, while the most conservative target is $20. The consensus of $27.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $11 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover BWIN stock?
BWIN is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the BWIN stock forecast?
The 12-month BWIN stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $27.33, with estimates ranging from $20 (bear case) to $35 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $8, with bear/bull scenarios of $5/$11.
What is BWIN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BWIN's fair value at $8 (base case), with a bear case of $5 and bull case of $11. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 62/100.
What is BWIN's forward P/E ratio?
BWIN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy BWIN stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on BWIN, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $27.33 price target (35.0% upside). 5 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do BWIN price targets vary so much?
BWIN analyst price targets range from $20 to $35, a 55% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $27.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $5-$11 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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