DFH trades 321.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $38.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes DFH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 8.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 22, 2026, Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $38.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.02, this represents a potential upside of +321.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $832M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $38.00 to a high of $38.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $38.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, DFH trades at a trailing P/E of 4.2x and forward P/E of 8.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.42 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -33.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $24.97, with bear and bull scenarios of $15.73 and $32.90 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $4.2B | $75.73 | $107.67 | +42.2% | Buy | 20.1x | 9 |
 GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.6B | $60.68 | — | — | Hold | 10.0x | 12 |
 LGIHLGI Homes, Inc. | $930M | $40.01 | $88.80 | +121.9% | Buy | 13.9x | 13 |
 TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation | $7.1B | $72.45 | $73.50 | +1.4% | Hold | 13.7x | 31 |
 CVCOCavco Industries, Inc. | $4.0B | $516.25 | $710.00 | +37.5% | Buy | 21.7x | 2 |
 DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $38.9B | $138.98 | $157.17 | +13.1% | Hold | 13.3x | 53 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $19.3B | $77.70 | $77.38 | -0.4% | Buy | 16.0x | 50 |
 PHMPulteGroup, Inc. | $21.8B | $112.89 | $139.64 | +23.7% | Buy | 11.2x | 44 |
 TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $12.6B | $135.05 | $167.75 | +24.2% | Buy | 10.6x | 46 |
 NVRNVR, Inc. | $15.9B | $5900.00 | $6545.75 | +10.9% | Buy | 16.4x | 25 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DFH stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for DFH is $38, representing 321.3% upside from the current price of $9.02. With 5 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
DFH has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $38 implies 321.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 8.4695x, DFH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $38 implies 321.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $38 for DFH, while the most conservative target is $38. The consensus of $38 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $33 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
DFH is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month DFH stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $38, with estimates ranging from $38 (bear case) to $38 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $25, with bear/bull scenarios of $16/$33.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DFH's fair value at $25 (base case), with a bear case of $16 and bull case of $33. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
DFH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 4.2x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on DFH, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $38 price target (321.3% upside). 1 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DFH analyst price targets range from $38 to $38, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $38 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $16-$33 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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