FPH trades at Wall Street's consensus target of —.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes FPH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of N/A, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. The company has a market capitalization of $678M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of N/A to a high of N/A.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, FPH trades at a trailing P/E of 9.5x and forward P/E of 15.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -15.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $8.16, with bear and bull scenarios of $5.14 and $10.76 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LENLennar Corporation | $19.8B | $79.81 | $78.00 | -2.3% | Buy | 16.3x | 50 |
PHMPulteGroup, Inc. | $22.3B | $115.73 | $141.88 | +22.6% | Hold | 11.4x | 44 |
TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $12.8B | $136.61 | $165.43 | +21.1% | Buy | 10.7x | 46 |
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation | $7.1B | $72.45 | $73.50 | +1.4% | Hold | 13.7x | 31 |
FORForestar Group Inc. | $1.3B | $25.75 | $28.38 | +10.2% | Buy | 8.9x | 12 |
LGIHLGI Homes, Inc. | $1.1B | $48.14 | $88.80 | +84.5% | Buy | 14.8x | 13 |
SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $4.8B | $88.10 | $107.67 | +22.2% | Buy | 23.4x | 9 |
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc. | $4.5B | $585.13 | $710.00 | +21.3% | Buy | 24.6x | 2 |
MHOM/I Homes, Inc. | $3.5B | $134.76 | $172.00 | +27.6% | Hold | 11.2x | 10 |
VMCVulcan Materials Company | $31.5B | $243.06 | $314.63 | +29.4% | Buy | 26.7x | 36 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FPH stock.
The consensus price target for FPH is $N/A, close to the current price of $4.54 (N/A% implied move). Based on 5 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
FPH has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $N/A implies N/A% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 15.1333x, FPH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $N/A implies N/A% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $N/A for FPH, while the most conservative target is $N/A. The consensus of $N/A represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $11 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FPH is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FPH stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $N/A, with estimates ranging from $N/A (bear case) to $N/A (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $8, with bear/bull scenarios of $5/$11.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FPH's fair value at $8 (base case), with a bear case of $5 and bull case of $11. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.
FPH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.5x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
FPH appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $N/A target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FPH analyst price targets range from $N/A to $N/A, a NaN% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $N/A consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $5-$11 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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