Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$24.71
Price Target
$31.51
Target Range
$31.51 — $31.51
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E—
Trailing P/E7.2x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-156.8%
Median Target$31.51
Analyst Spread0.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$32
+27.5%
Consensus
$32
+27.5%
Bull Case
$32
+27.5%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 50/100
Bear$2391
Base$3804
Bull$7702
HMC Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $31.51, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $24.71, this represents a potential upside of +27.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $32.06B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $31.51 to a high of $31.51, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $31.51 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, HMC trades at a trailing P/E of 7.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -156.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $3803.67, with bear and bull scenarios of $2390.69 and $7702.05 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+24.9%
Avg Forward P/E32.8x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TMToyota Motor Corporation | $254.2B | $195.05 | $179.41 | -8.0% | Hold | 0.1x | 16 |
 FFord Motor Company | $47.7B | $12.16 | $13.96 | +14.8% | Hold | 7.7x | 46 |
 GMGeneral Motors Company | $71.0B | $78.70 | $91.75 | +16.6% | Buy | 6.2x | 51 |
 STLAStellantis N.V. | $22.2B | $7.66 | $10.76 | +40.5% | Hold | 10.0x | 14 |
 TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.5T | $398.53 | $450.45 | +13.0% | Hold | 206.1x | 81 |
 RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | $17.9B | $14.49 | $18.36 | +26.7% | Buy | — | 28 |
 LCIDLucid Group, Inc. | $2.0B | $6.19 | $14.00 | +126.2% | Hold | — | 15 |
 ALVAutoliv, Inc. | $9.1B | $121.25 | $134.63 | +11.0% | Hold | 11.6x | 37 |
 BWABorgWarner Inc. | $12.3B | $59.41 | $68.80 | +15.8% | Buy | 11.5x | 38 |
 LEALear Corporation | $7.0B | $137.57 | $126.57 | -8.0% | Hold | 9.5x | 31 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonHMC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HMC stock.
What is the HMC stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for HMC is $31.51, representing 27.5% upside from the current price of $24.71. With 18 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is HMC a buy, sell, or hold?
HMC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 12 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $31.51 implies 27.5% upside from current levels.
Is HMC stock overvalued or undervalued?
HMC's current price is $24.71 with a consensus target of $31.51 (27.5% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
How high can HMC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $31.51 for HMC, while the most conservative target is $31.51. The consensus of $31.51 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $7702 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover HMC stock?
HMC is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the HMC stock forecast?
The 12-month HMC stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $31.51, with estimates ranging from $31.51 (bear case) to $31.51 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $3804, with bear/bull scenarios of $2391/$7702.
What is HMC's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HMC's fair value at $3804 (base case), with a bear case of $2391 and bull case of $7702. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
Should I buy HMC stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HMC, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $31.51 price target (27.5% upside). 5 of 18 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do HMC price targets vary so much?
HMC analyst price targets range from $31.51 to $31.51, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $31.51 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $2391-$7702 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.