Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026

Analyst Rating: Hold

Based on 18 analysts

20.0% Below Target

HMC trades 20.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $31.51.

Current Price$26.26

Average Target$31.51

Low$31.51

Median$31.51

High$31.51

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E0.1x

(Value)

PEG Ratio—

Implied Growth+163.8%

(High Growth)

Analyst Spread0.0%

(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$26.26

Consensus$31.51

High$31.51

Low$31.51

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes HMC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 0.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 18 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 18 published analyst recommendations for HMC

67% hold / mixed conviction

BearishBullish

Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 18 ratings

ConsensusHold

Coverage18 Analysts

Net Score+11

Bull / Bear28% / 6%

Strong Buy00%

Buy528%

Hold1267%

Sell16%

Strong Sell00%

Strong Buy

00%

Buy

528%

Hold

1267%

Sell

16%

Strong Sell

00%

Recommendation Mix28% Buy · 67% Hold · 6% Sell

Buy (5)Hold (12)Sell (1)

HMC Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $31.51, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $26.26, this represents a potential upside of +20.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $34.07B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $31.51 to a high of $31.51, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $31.51 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, HMC trades at a trailing P/E of -12.5x and forward P/E of 0.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +163.8% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $2070.70, with bear and bull scenarios of $1304.54 and $2728.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis

Avg Peer Upside

+13.6%

Industry Consensus

Avg Forward P/E

33.8x

(Growth Premium)

Peers with Coverage

10 / 10

Active Analyst Tracking

Company	Market Cap	Price	Target	Upside Potential	Rating	Fwd P/E	Analysts
TMToyota Motor Corporation	$226.7B	$173.94	$179.41	+3.1%	Hold	0.1x	16
FFord Motor Company	$55.0B	$14.04	$14.76	+5.1%	Hold	8.4x	46
GMGeneral Motors Company	$71.5B	$79.29	$93.82	+18.3%	Buy	6.2x	51
STLAStellantis N.V.	$18.4B	$6.34	$10.56	+66.6%	Hold	8.6x	14
TSLATesla, Inc.	$1.5T	$400.49	$450.45	+12.5%	Hold	212.2x	81
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.	$20.4B	$16.52	$17.30	+4.7%	Buy	—	29
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.	$1.8B	$5.36	$6.00	+11.9%	Hold	—	15
ALVAutoliv, Inc.	$8.8B	$118.24	$129.86	+9.8%	Hold	11.3x	37
BWABorgWarner Inc.	$14.8B	$71.84	$77.09	+7.3%	Buy	13.8x	38
LEALear Corporation	$7.1B	$139.75	$134.86	-3.5%	Hold	9.4x	31

HMC — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HMC stock.

What is the HMC stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for HMC is $31.51, representing 20.0% upside from the current price of $26.26. With 18 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is HMC a buy, sell, or hold?

HMC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 12 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $31.51 implies 20.0% upside from current levels.

Is HMC stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 0.126x, HMC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $31.51 implies 20.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can HMC stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $31.51 for HMC, while the most conservative target is $31.51. The consensus of $31.51 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2728 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover HMC stock?

HMC is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the HMC stock forecast?

The 12-month HMC stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $31.51, with estimates ranging from $31.51 (bear case) to $31.51 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $2071, with bear/bull scenarios of $1305/$2728.

What is HMC's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates HMC's fair value at $2071 (base case), with a bear case of $1305 and bull case of $2728. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.

What is HMC's forward P/E ratio?

HMC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy HMC stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HMC, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $31.51 price target (20.0% upside). 5 of 18 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do HMC price targets vary so much?

HMC analyst price targets range from $31.51 to $31.51, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $31.51 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1305-$2728 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools