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Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$30.16
Market reference
Price Target
$31.51
+4.5% Upside
Target Range
$31.51 — $31.51
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Hold
18 analysts
Forward P/E0.1x
Trailing P/E8.8x
Forward PEG0.01
Implied Growth-5.1%
Median Target$31.51
Analyst Spread0.0%

HMC trades near analyst consensus with +4.5% potential upside. Limited near-term catalysts may be priced in at current levels.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$30.16
Consensus$31.51
High$31.51
Low$31.51
Model$5270.08
Bear Case
$32
+4.5%
Consensus
$32
+4.5%
Bull Case
$32
+4.5%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 49/100
Bear$2917
Base$5270
Bull$9399

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 18 published analyst recommendations for HMC

67% hold / mixed conviction
+11
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 18 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage18 Analysts
Net Score+11
Bull / Bear28% / 6%
Strong Buy00%
Buy528%
Hold1267%
Sell16%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
528%
Hold
1267%
Sell
16%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix28% Buy · 67% Hold · 6% Sell
Buy (5)Hold (12)Sell (1)

HMC Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $31.51, based on estimates from 18 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $30.16, this represents a potential upside of +4.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $39.13B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $31.51 to a high of $31.51, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $31.51 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, HMC trades at a trailing P/E of 8.8x and forward P/E of 0.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.01 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -5.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $5270.08, with bear and bull scenarios of $2917.49 and $9399.21 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+5.4%
Avg Forward P/E4.7x
Peers with Coverage5 / 5
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
HMCHonda Motor Co., Ltd.
$39.1B$30.16$31.51+4.5%Hold0.1x18
TMToyota Motor Corporation$315.9B$242.38$179.41-26.0%Hold0.1x15
GMGeneral Motors Company$71.2B$78.71$89.93+14.3%Buy6.4x51
FFord Motor Company$55.2B$14.10$13.19-6.4%Hold9.2x46
STLAStellantis N.V.$23.4B$8.09$11.40+40.9%Hold7.5x13

Upside Potential Comparison

STLA
+40.9%
GM
+14.3%
HMC
+4.5%
F
-6.4%
TM
-26.0%

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Is HMC Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the HMC stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for HMC is $31.51, close to the current price of $30.16 (4.5% implied move). Based on 18 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is HMC a buy, sell, or hold?

HMC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 18 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 12 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $31.51 implies 4.5% upside from current levels.

Is HMC stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 0.0836x, HMC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $31.51 implies 4.5% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can HMC stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $31.51 for HMC, while the most conservative target is $31.51. The consensus of $31.51 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $9399 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover HMC stock?

HMC is well covered by analysts, with 18 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the HMC stock forecast?

The 12-month HMC stock forecast based on 18 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $31.51, with estimates ranging from $31.51 (bear case) to $31.51 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $5270, with bear/bull scenarios of $2917/$9399.

What is HMC's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates HMC's fair value at $5270 (base case), with a bear case of $2917 and bull case of $9399. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

What is HMC's forward P/E ratio?

HMC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 8.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy HMC stock?

HMC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $31.51 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do HMC price targets vary so much?

HMC analyst price targets range from $31.51 to $31.51, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $31.51 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $2917-$9399 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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