Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$195.05
Price Target
$179.41
Target Range
$179.41 — $179.41
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E0.1x
Trailing P/E8.5x
Forward PEG0.00
Implied Growth-17.2%
Median Target$179.41
Analyst Spread0.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$179
-8.0%
Consensus
$179
-8.0%
Bull Case
$179
-8.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 51/100
Bear$19884
Base$37566
Bull$54874
TM Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $179.41, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $195.05, this represents a potential downside of -8.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $254.22B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $179.41 to a high of $179.41, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $179.41 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, TM trades at a trailing P/E of 8.5x and forward P/E of 0.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.00 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -17.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $37566.29, with bear and bull scenarios of $19883.71 and $54874.06 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+34.7%
Avg Forward P/E48.3x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GMGeneral Motors Company | $71.0B | $78.70 | $91.75 | +16.6% | Buy | 6.2x | 51 |
 FFord Motor Company | $47.7B | $12.16 | $13.96 | +14.8% | Hold | 7.7x | 46 |
 STLAStellantis N.V. | $22.2B | $7.66 | $10.76 | +40.5% | Hold | 10.0x | 14 |
 HMCHonda Motor Co., Ltd. | $32.1B | $24.71 | $31.51 | +27.5% | Hold | — | 18 |
 TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.5T | $398.53 | $450.45 | +13.0% | Hold | 206.1x | 81 |
 RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | $17.9B | $14.49 | $18.36 | +26.7% | Buy | — | 28 |
 LCIDLucid Group, Inc. | $2.0B | $6.19 | $14.00 | +126.2% | Hold | — | 15 |
 NIONIO Inc. | $12.4B | $5.91 | $6.45 | +9.1% | Buy | — | 24 |
 LILi Auto Inc. | $35.6B | $17.72 | $20.01 | +12.9% | Buy | 11.4x | 16 |
 XPEVXPeng Inc. | $5.6B | $15.93 | $25.50 | +60.1% | Buy | — | 17 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonTM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TM stock.
What is the TM stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for TM is $179.41, -8.0% from its current price of $195.05. The below-market target from 16 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is TM a buy, sell, or hold?
TM has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $179.41 implies -8.0% downside from current levels.
Is TM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 0.0663x, TM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $179.41 implies -8.0% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can TM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $179.41 for TM, while the most conservative target is $179.41. The consensus of $179.41 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $54874 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TM stock?
TM is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TM stock forecast?
The 12-month TM stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $179.41, with estimates ranging from $179.41 (bear case) to $179.41 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $37566, with bear/bull scenarios of $19884/$54874.
What is TM's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TM's fair value at $37566 (base case), with a bear case of $19884 and bull case of $54874. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
What is TM's forward P/E ratio?
TM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 8.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TM stock?
Analysts are cautious on TM, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $179.41 (-8.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TM price targets vary so much?
TM analyst price targets range from $179.41 to $179.41, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $179.41 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19884-$54874 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.