NFBK trades 0.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes NFBK achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Northfield Bancorp, Inc. (NFBK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.50, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $14.41, this represents a potential upside of +0.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $602M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.50 to a high of $14.50, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, NFBK trades at a trailing P/E of 727.8x and forward P/E of 10.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +6650.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $13.99, with bear and bull scenarios of $8.82 and $18.44 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KRNYKearny Financial Corp. | $533M | $8.47 | $9.50 | +12.2% | Hold | 13.6x | 5 |
DCOMDime Community Bancshares, Inc. | $1.7B | $39.00 | $39.50 | +1.3% | Hold | 11.6x | 10 |
FFICFlushing Financial Corporation | $524M | $15.47 | $16.75 | +8.3% | Hold | 11.0x | 10 |
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $46.68 | $46.00 | -1.5% | Hold | 11.2x | 10 |
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp. | $1.0B | $18.03 | $19.00 | +5.4% | Hold | 9.5x | 8 |
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY | $925M | $52.24 | — | — | Hold | 18.2x | 3 |
FHNFirst Horizon Corporation | $12.3B | $24.81 | $28.00 | +12.9% | Hold | 11.6x | 35 |
ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc. | $75.8B | $133.88 | $194.00 | +44.9% | Buy | 16.5x | 36 |
CSGPCoStar Group, Inc. | $12.8B | $30.12 | $61.18 | +103.1% | Buy | 22.1x | 25 |
FICOFair Isaac Corporation | $25.4B | $1096.48 | $1604.67 | +46.3% | Buy | 25.5x | 19 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NFBK stock.
The consensus price target for NFBK is $14.5, close to the current price of $14.41 (0.6% implied move). Based on 9 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
NFBK has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 7 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $14.5 implies 0.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.6741x, NFBK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $14.5 implies 0.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14.5 for NFBK, while the most conservative target is $14.5. The consensus of $14.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $18 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
NFBK is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month NFBK stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14.5, with estimates ranging from $14.5 (bear case) to $14.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $14, with bear/bull scenarios of $9/$18.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates NFBK's fair value at $14 (base case), with a bear case of $9 and bull case of $18. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.
NFBK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 727.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
NFBK appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $14.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NFBK analyst price targets range from $14.5 to $14.5, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $9-$18 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.