REPX trades 8.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $37.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes REPX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 6.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 22, 2026, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $37.00, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $40.62, this represents a potential downside of -8.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $881M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $38.00, representing a 5% spread in expectations. The median target of $37.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, REPX trades at a trailing P/E of 5.4x and forward P/E of 6.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +11.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $48.00, with bear and bull scenarios of $30.24 and $63.24 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CIVICivitas Resources, Inc. | $2.3B | $27.38 | $63.42 | +131.6% | Hold | 6.8x | 16 |
 MTDRMatador Resources Company | $6.7B | $54.09 | $72.45 | +33.9% | Buy | 6.8x | 42 |
 BATLBattalion Oil Corporation | $25M | $1.15 | — | — | Buy | 5.0x | 2 |
 TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $196M | $4.84 | $5.00 | +3.3% | Hold | 5.4x | 12 |
 FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc. | $53.2B | $189.27 | $222.36 | +17.5% | Buy | 9.2x | 53 |
 CTRACoterra Energy Inc. | $24.7B | $32.56 | $42.00 | +29.0% | Buy | 11.3x | 55 |
 VTLEVital Energy, Inc. | $693M | $17.92 | $45.71 | +155.1% | Hold | 4.0x | 36 |
 COPConocoPhillips | $155.4B | $127.53 | $152.27 | +19.4% | Buy | 12.3x | 52 |
 OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation | $56.9B | $57.25 | $70.90 | +23.8% | Buy | 9.1x | 52 |
 HALHalliburton Company | $27.9B | $33.39 | $43.11 | +29.1% | Buy | 14.3x | 64 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying REPX stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for REPX is $37, -8.9% from its current price of $40.62. The below-market target from 3 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
REPX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $37 implies -8.9% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 6.5123x, REPX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $37 implies -8.9% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $38 for REPX, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $37 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $63 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
REPX is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month REPX stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $37, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $38 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $48, with bear/bull scenarios of $30/$63.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates REPX's fair value at $48 (base case), with a bear case of $30 and bull case of $63. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
REPX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 5.4x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on REPX, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $37 (-8.9% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
REPX analyst price targets range from $36 to $38, a 5% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $37 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $30-$63 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Live VCP patterns, Cup & Handle overlays, support/resistance, and AI trade plans.
High-probability breakout stocks crossing their pivot across 5 pattern engines.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.