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TDThe Toronto-Dominion Bank
$124.34$210.1B
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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Buy17 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$90-28.0% Downside
Current: $124.34
Analyst Range
Low $88High $92
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
9 Buy·8 Hold·0 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Beat 6.7%
Forward P/E: 12.8x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates TD buy with a 12-month price target of $90 (-28.0% downside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for The Toronto-Dominion Bank.

Recent Analyst Actions

TD Analyst Upgrades & Price Target Changes

1 of 1 analysts raised targets. Recent price target changes and ratings for TD.

Updated Jun 2026
FirmActionRatingPrice Target
RBC CapitalRaisedOutperform$138$156

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for TD.

Current setup

TD beat estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • Strong Earnings Growth ExpectedTD Bank is projected to sustain earnings growth and dividend increases, especially after a strong 2025.
  • Attractive ValuationThe bank is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio compared to its peers, indicating it may be undervalued.
  • U.S. Exposure as HedgeTD's U.S. retail banking presence provides a buffer against potential domestic economic slowdowns.
  • Cost Savings from RestructuringThe strategic shift towards cost savings is expected to deliver significant annual savings, enhancing earnings growth.
  • Positive Analyst SentimentAnalysts have upgraded their ratings from 'Hold' to 'Moderate Buy' following a strong Q1 2026 earnings report.

Wall Street rates TD buy, giving the bull case institutional backing from 17 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

  • Regulatory Risks PersistOngoing regulatory 'monitorship' could create uncertainty for institutional investors in the coming years.
  • Geopolitical and Economic ConcernsGlobal economic slowdowns and geopolitical tensions may impact loan demand and increase defaults.
  • Potential for Credit LossesA significant downturn in the Canadian economy could lead to higher credit losses despite U.S. exposure.
  • Market Volatility RisksVolatility surrounding the CUSMA agreement review remains a concern for investors.
  • Analyst Forecasts Suggest DownsideDespite a strong rally, some analysts indicate that the median forecast implies slight downside from current prices.

Watch whether new negative commentary on TD points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

TD Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$1.74 vs $1.63 est.Beat 6.7%
Revenue
$11.8B vs $11.0B est.Beat 6.8%
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TD — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TD stock.

What is the analyst consensus on TD?
Verdict

TD faces headwinds — analysts' $90 target is -28.0% from $124.34, suggesting limited near-term upside. This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for TD?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Buy" with -28.0% upside to the $90 target. In the past 30 days, 1 of 1 covering analysts raised their price targets — a bullish signal.

What is the price target for TD stock?
Price Target

TD's consensus 12-month price target is $90, set by 17 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $92 and the bear case low is $88. From the current price of $124.34, this implies -28.0% upside.

Is TD overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

TD appears overvalued — the $90 consensus target is -28.0% from today's $124.34. It trades at a forward P/E of 12.8x. Targets range from $88 (bear) to $92 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were TD's latest earnings results?
Earnings

TD reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Buy" with a $90 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for TD?
Coverage

Of 17 analysts covering The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD): 0 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Buy" consensus. The 12-month price target is $90 (range $88–$92). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in TD?
Risks

No analyst currently rates TD a Sell, but the 8 Hold ratings reflect concerns about valuation, execution risk, or near-term catalysts. See the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on The Toronto-Dominion Bank.

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.