36.5% Below Target

The consensus Wall Street price target for VST is $223.5, representing 36.5% upside from the current price of $163.75. With 22 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

VST has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 22 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 20 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $223.5 implies 36.5% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 17.8921x, VST trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $223.5 implies 36.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $293 for VST, while the most conservative target is $187. The consensus of $223.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $498 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

VST is well covered by analysts, with 22 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 20 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month VST stock forecast based on 22 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $223.5, with estimates ranging from $187 (bear case) to $293 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $378, with bear/bull scenarios of $238/$498.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates VST's fair value at $378 (base case), with a bear case of $238 and bull case of $498. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 41/100.

VST trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 74.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on VST, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $223.5 price target (36.5% upside). 20 of 22 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

VST analyst price targets range from $187 to $293, a 47% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $223.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $238-$498 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.