MODEL VERDICT
Clarivate Plc (CLVT)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $2.79 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $2.45 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $2.68 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $2.48 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $2.17 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 11 analyst estimates | $17.47 | +526.2% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 10 industry peers | $19.47 | +597.8% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 9 industry peers | $11.11 | +298.2% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 9 industry peers | $7.98 | +186.0% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 11 industry peers | $15.50 | +455.6% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 11 industry peers | $19.65 | +604.3% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 10 industry peers | $11.59 | +315.4% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $19.15 | +586.4% | 100% | 73 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 36.58 | 44.58 | 7.72 | 60.33 | 22.91 |
| P/FCF | 42.63 | 18.47 | 6.16 | 96.37 | 39.30 |
| P/FFO | 33.15 | 39.02 | 4.04 | 56.38 | 26.66 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.34 | 1.04 | 0.46 | 3.69 | 1.08 |
| Div Yield | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 4.24 | 2.37 | 0.92 | 10.15 | 3.58 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 18 valuation metrics, the model estimates CLVT's fair value at $19.15 vs the current price of $2.79, implying +586.4% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 73/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $19.15 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $13.14 (P10) to $23.11 (P90), with a median of $17.84.
CLVT's current P/E of -9.3x compares to the industry median of 28.7x (9 peers in the group). This represents a -132.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
20 analysts cover CLVT with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $3.30 (range: $3.00 — $3.60), implying +18.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (5), Hold (11), Sell (4), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 73/100, based on: data completeness (21), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for CLVT.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.