MODEL VERDICT
Camping World Holdings, Inc. (CWH)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.61 | $7.76 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.61 | $7.69 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.61 | $8.32 | Pending | -16.7% |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $12.28 | Pending | -42.3% |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $11.48 | Pending | -40.2% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 9 analyst estimates | $8.66 | +11.6% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 9 industry peers | $5.66 | -27.1% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 9 industry peers | $17.73 | +128.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 9 industry peers | $32.08 | +313.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $13.35 | +72.1% | 100% | 55 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.44 | 7.68 | 6.66 | 47.75 | 20.22 |
| EV/EBIT | 15.02 | 9.60 | 6.74 | 25.47 | 8.80 |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.01 | 11.17 | 6.53 | 48.95 | 15.00 |
| P/FCF | 7.93 | 4.96 | 1.57 | 20.23 | 8.45 |
| P/FFO | 29.50 | 16.19 | 4.59 | 110.24 | 40.36 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.70 | 3.86 | 1.64 | 15.50 | 6.05 |
| Div Yield | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 0.10 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.52 | 0.16 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 10 valuation metrics, the model estimates CWH's fair value at $13.35 vs the current price of $7.76, implying +72.1% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 55/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $13.35 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $7.09 (P10) to $27.04 (P90), with a median of $13.40.
CWH's current P/E of -5.4x compares to the industry median of 15.4x (9 peers in the group). This represents a -135.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 17.4x over 4 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
24 analysts cover CWH with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $12.00 (range: $10.00 — $14.00), implying +54.6% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (15), Hold (6), Sell (3), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 55/100, based on: data completeness (12), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for CWH.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.