MODEL VERDICT
Sprinklr, Inc. (CXM) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.82 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.59 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.49 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $5.89 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.71 | $7.63 | Pending | -23.7% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 113 analyst estimates | $9.22 | +58.4% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 80 industry peers | $3.90 | -33.0% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 71 industry peers | $11.59 | +99.1% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 105 industry peers | $5.10 | -12.4% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 77 industry peers | $2.53 | -56.5% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 107 industry peers | $5.08 | -12.7% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 124 industry peers | $10.97 | +88.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 125 industry peers | $10.25 | +76.1% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 75 industry peers | $12.85 | +120.8% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 107 industry peers | $5.11 | -12.2% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $33.98 | +483.8% | 100% | 75 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 9× | 11× | 13× (Current) | 15× | 17× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $4 | $5 | $6 | $7 | $8 |
| Conservative (7%) | $4 | $5 | $6 | $7 | $8 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $4 | $5 | $6 | $7 | $8 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $4 | $5 | $6 | $7 | $8 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1293.98 | 176.73 | 29.78 | 4792.69 | 2335.89 |
| P/TBV | 9.85 | 4.59 | 3.85 | 30.42 | 11.54 |
| P/B Ratio | 7.70 | 4.06 | 3.49 | 21.69 | 7.87 |
| P/S Ratio | 5.11 | 4.26 | 2.68 | 10.24 | 3.01 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 23 valuation metrics, the model estimates CXM's fair value at $33.98 vs the current price of $5.82, implying +483.8% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 75/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $33.98 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $6.37 (P10) to $86.85 (P90), with a median of $30.41.
CXM's current P/E of 13.2x compares to the industry median of 26.3x (71 peers in the group). This represents a -49.8% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
16 analysts cover CXM with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $8.00 (range: $8.00 — $8.00), implying +37.5% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (5), Hold (9), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 75/100, based on: data completeness (27), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for CXM.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.