MODEL VERDICT
Pixelworks, Inc. (PXLW)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.57 | $6.35 | CURRENT | -9.8% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 74 industry peers | $55.89 | +780.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 74 industry peers | $53.20 | +737.8% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $77.49 | +1120.3% | 100% | 43 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 27.47 | 18.94 | 1.79 | 67.40 | 27.50 |
| P/B Ratio | 15.81 | 13.58 | 1.07 | 37.46 | 14.78 |
| P/S Ratio | 13.90 | 14.79 | 0.99 | 33.72 | 12.66 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates PXLW's fair value at $77.49 vs the current price of $6.35, implying +1120.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 43/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $77.49 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $36.22 (P10) to $91.95 (P90), with a median of $62.89.
PXLW's current P/E of -1.1x compares to the industry median of 43.0x (47 peers in the group). This represents a -102.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
7 analysts cover PXLW with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $15.00 (range: $15.00 — $15.00), implying +136.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (6), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 43/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: --15 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for PXLW.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.