Insurance - Property & Casualty
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KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Insurance - Property & Casualty
KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $1.39B | $10.01B | $114.73B | $1.73B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.71B | $4.33B | $85.18B | $4.71B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $39M | $571M | $10.71B | $39M |
| Gross Margin | 8.1% | 18.1% | 26.3% | 8.1% |
| Operating Margin | 0.7% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 0.7% |
| Forward P/E | 6.3x | 17.1x | 12.0x | 7.8x |
| Total Debt | $1.00B | $0.00 | $6.89B | $1.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $126M | $346M | $143M | $126M |
KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kemper Corporation … (KMPB) | 100 | 95.5 | -4.5% |
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 123.1 | +23.1% |
| The Progressive Cor… (PGR) | 100 | 171.7 | +71.7% |
| Kemper Corporation (KMPR) | 100 | 52.0 | -48.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KMPB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.20, yield 5.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.20, Low D/E 37.6%
- Beta 0.20, yield 5.4%
- Lower P/E (6.3x vs 7.8x)
ERIE is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if quality and stability is your priority.
- Combined ratio 0.8 vs KMPR's 1.0 (lower = better underwriting)
- Beta 0.16 vs KMPR's 0.58
- 17.3% ROA vs KMPR's 0.4%, ROIC 29.5% vs 3.1%
PGR is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.4%, EPS growth 118.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.5%
- 5.9% 10Y total return vs ERIE's 171.6%
- PEG 0.73 vs ERIE's 1.26
- 21.4% revenue growth vs KMPR's 3.6%
KMPR lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.4% revenue growth vs KMPR's 3.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.3x vs 7.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs KMPR's 1.0 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs KMPR's 0.58 | |
| Dividends | 5.4% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs ERIE's 2.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +12.8% vs KMPR's -50.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs KMPR's 0.4%, ROIC 29.5% vs 3.1% |
KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
PGR leads in 2 of 6 categories
KMPB leads 1 • ERIE leads 1 • KMPR leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR is the larger business by revenue, generating $85.2B annually — 19.7x ERIE's $4.3B. ERIE is the more profitable business, keeping 13.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMPR's 0.8%. On growth, PGR holds the edge at +14.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.7B | $4.3B | $85.2B | $4.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $21M | $786M | $13.8B | $21M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $39M | $571M | $10.7B | $39M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $382M | $537M | $17.0B | $382M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +18.1% | +26.3% | +8.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.7% | +17.0% | +15.9% | +0.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +13.2% | +12.6% | +0.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +12.4% | +20.0% | +8.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.0% | +2.3% | +14.2% | -7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -104.9% | +7.9% | +12.1% | -104.9% |
Valuation Metrics
KMPB leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.4x trailing earnings, KMPB trades at a 49% valuation discount to ERIE's 20.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), PGR offers better value at 0.83x vs ERIE's 1.50x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $10.0B | $114.7B | $1.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.3B | $9.7B | $121.5B | $2.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.36x | 20.41x | 13.59x | 12.83x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.26x | 17.15x | 12.00x | 7.82x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.50x | 0.83x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.67x | 12.14x | 11.05x | 11.08x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.29x | 2.46x | 1.52x | 0.36x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.56x | 5.00x | 4.50x | 0.69x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 2.51x | 17.53x | 7.73x | 3.11x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PGR delivers a 30.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $1 for KMPR. PGR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.27x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KMPR's 0.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KMPB scores 7/9 vs ERIE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.4% | +25.0% | +30.2% | +1.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.4% | +17.3% | +8.8% | +0.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.1% | +29.5% | +27.0% | +3.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.3% | +32.0% | +11.0% | +1.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | — | 0.27x | 0.38x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $879M | -$346M | $6.8B | $879M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $126M | $346M | $143M | $126M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.0B | $0 | $6.9B | $1.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.59x | — | 49.44x | 0.59x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PGR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PGR five years ago would be worth $20,726 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,483 for KMPR. Over the past 12 months, KMPB leads with a +12.8% total return vs KMPR's -50.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PGR at 17.2% vs KMPR's -10.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.7% | -20.9% | -1.3% | -24.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +12.8% | -38.7% | -26.8% | -50.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.6% | -0.2% | +60.9% | -29.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.5% | +14.8% | +107.3% | -55.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +23.5% | +171.6% | +593.7% | +31.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +16.1% | -0.1% | +17.2% | -10.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — KMPB and PGR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PGR is the less volatile stock with a -0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KMPR's 0.58 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KMPB currently trades 98.1% from its 52-week high vs KMPR's 44.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.20x | 0.16x | -0.07x | 0.58x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $24.18 | $380.67 | $289.96 | $66.13 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $21.72 | $210.06 | $192.02 | $27.74 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.1% | +56.9% | +67.5% | +44.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.4 | 33.6 | 42.3 | 51.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 24K | 231K | 2.6M | 813K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — KMPB and ERIE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: PGR as "Hold", KMPR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 63.4% upside for KMPR (target: $48) vs 17.6% for PGR (target: $230). For income investors, KMPB offers the higher dividend yield at 5.36% vs PGR's 0.59%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | — | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | — | $230.27 | $48.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | — | 41 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +5.4% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +4.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.27 | $4.83 | $1.15 | $1.27 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +21.7% | 0.0% | +0.6% | +17.5% |
PGR leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). KMPB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
KMPB vs ERIE vs PGR vs KMPR: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger pick with 21.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 6% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB) offers the better valuation at 10. 4x trailing P/E (6. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Kemper Corporation (KMPR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR?
On trailing P/E, Kemper Corporation 5.
875% Fixed (KMPB) is the cheapest at 10. 4x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 4x. On forward P/E, Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed is actually cheaper at 6. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Progressive Corporation wins at 0. 73x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 26x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR?
Over the past 5 years, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) delivered a total return of +107.
3%, compared to -55. 2% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGR returned +593. 7% versus KMPB's +23. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
07β versus Kemper Corporation's 0. 58β — meaning KMPR is approximately -929% more volatile than PGR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 27% versus 38% for Kemper Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is pulling ahead at 21.
4% versus 3. 6% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Progressive Corporation grew EPS 118. 8% year-over-year, compared to -53. 4% for Kemper Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGR leads at 16. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
8% net margin versus 3. 0% for Kemper Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus 3. 3% for KMPR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KMPB leads at 29. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 73x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 26x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB) trades at 6. 3x forward P/E versus 17. 1x for Erie Indemnity Company — 10. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KMPR: 63. 4% to $48. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Kemper Corporation 5. 875% Fixed (KMPB) offers the highest yield at 5. 4%, versus 0. 6% for The Progressive Corporation (PGR).
09Is KMPB or ERIE or PGR or KMPR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
07), 0. 6% yield, +593. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGR: +593. 7%, KMPR: +31. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KMPB and ERIE and PGR and KMPR?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: KMPB is a small-cap deep-value stock; ERIE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; PGR is a mid-cap high-growth stock; KMPR is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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