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NVRNVR, Inc.
$6298.29$17.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NVR logo

NVR, Inc.

NVR
NYSE · Homebuilders
$6298.29
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$17B
P/E16.7x
52W High$8200.00
Volume32.16K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

NVR Faces Structural Margin Erosion Amid Fortress Balance Sheet

NVR's fundamental outlook is defined by a striking divergence: six consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue erosion (bottoming at -10.6% in 2026Q2) and approximately 550 basis points of gross margin compression from the 25.6% peak in 2024Q2 to 20.1% in 2026Q3 weigh against a still-fortress balance sheet carrying…

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NVR price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 56 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 56)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

NVR's revenue has now declined year-over-year for six straight quarters, and gross margin has compressed roughly 550 basis points from its 25.6% peak in 2024Q2 to 20.1% in 2026Q3, with operating income down 29.9% year-over-year signaling material negative operating leverage against a sticky SG&A base of $158.5 million.

Analyst Consensus+3.8% target
Buy(25 analysts)
10 Buy10 Hold5 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Homebuilding segment strength

NVR operates a robust homebuilding business under well-known brands like Ryan Homes and NVHomes, driving revenue growth.

Mortgage banking synergy

The mortgage banking segment complements homebuilding, providing integrated financial services and enhancing customer value.

Revenue growth sustainability

Analysts highlight NVR's potential for sustained revenue growth, supported by market demand and operational efficiency.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NVR-13.47%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NVR-12.46%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NVR+6.38%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+66.13%
5-Year Return
NVR+23.79%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.09%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
16.7x
Forward P/E
18.5x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
12.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
16.7x
16.1x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
12.1x
12.7x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
20.8x
18.6x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$3318.93-47.3%
Base (Fair)$5873.73-6.7%
Bull$8714.22+38.4%
$3318.93 Bear$5873.73 Base$8714.22 Bull
Current Market Price: $6298.29
Trades at a 7.2% premium to Base DCF ($5873.73)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$10.32B-2.1% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.34B-20.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.1B-18.5% YoY
Operating margin FY25
16.2%-2.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)43.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y61.5%
ROE (TTM)29.5%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 22, 2026
$89.45-13.0%
vs $102.77
$2.4B-6.5%
vs $2.6B
Q3 2026
Jul 23, 2026
$83.96-6.7%
vs $89.98
$2.3B-3.0%
vs $2.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$0.68-12.4%
vs $0.77
$1.9B-8.1%
vs $2.0B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$1.22+14.8%
vs $1.06
$2.7B+9.5%
vs $2.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Defense World·Oct 28, 2026
NVR, Inc. $NVR Stock Holdings Lifted by Citizens Financial Group Inc. RI

Citizens Financial Group Inc. RI lifted its holdings in shares of NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR) by 166.0% during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 250 shares of the construction company's stock after purchasing an additional 156 shares during the quarter. Citizens Financial Group

Benzinga·Oct 23, 2026
NVR Faces Double Squeeze As Homebuyers Retreat and Construction Costs Climb

NVR Inc. (NYSE:NVR) received a downgrade from Bank of America on Friday as the investment firm warned that weakening homebuyer demand, rising construction costs and pressure on profit margins could weigh on the homebuilder's earnings through 2027.

Zacks Investment Research·Oct 23, 2026
NVR Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates on Lower Settlements & Margin Pressure

NVR's Q3 earnings and homebuilding revenues miss estimates as margin pressure, fewer settlements and softer pricing weigh on results, despite 10% backlog growth.

247 Wallst·Oct 23, 2026
Here Are Friday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Deckers Outdoor, Globe Life, Guardant Health, Hess Midstream LP, Kimberly-Clark, Natera, NVR, SpaceX, Thermo Fisher Scientific, and More

A wild Thursday saw Treasury yields crater, oil surge past $111, crypto liquidations top $431 million, and Meta's cash flow surprise rattle markets. Now analysts are reshuffling their calls on some of the week's most closely watched names.

Filtered for NVR, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NVR against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for NVR, Inc. (NVR)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NVR logoNVRNVR, Inc.Current
$6298.29$17B16.71-2.08%11.23%29.53%—
DHI logoDHID.R. Horton, Inc.
$152.28$42.59B14.65-3.52%8.74%11.93%1.18%
LEN logoLENLennar Corporation
$88.74$22.03B16.09-3.54%4.1%5.99%2.28%
PHM logoPHMPulteGroup, Inc.
$132.49$25.57B13.85-3.54%11.24%13.8%0.67%
TOL logoTOLToll Brothers, Inc.
$152.56$14.26B12.171.11%11.14%14.21%0.64%
MHO logoMHOM/I Homes, Inc.
$131.60$3.39B12.31-1.93%6.59%8.64%—

Compare NVR vs Peers

NVR, Inc. (NVR) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs DHI

Most directly comparable listed peer for NVR.

Scale Benchmark

vs PHM

Larger-name benchmark to compare NVR against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NVR SEC Filings & Documents

NVR, Inc. (NVR) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 15, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

4
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 12, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 14, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

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NVR Frequently Asked Questions

NVR, Inc. (NVR) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is NVR, Inc.'s revenue?

NVR, Inc. (NVR) reported $9.32B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $10.32B in fiscal year 2025. That is 865% more than the $1.07B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is NVR, Inc. growing?

NVR, Inc. (NVR) revenue fell by 9.6% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NVR profitable?

Yes. NVR, Inc. (NVR) earned $1.05B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 11.2% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is NVR's return on equity?

NVR, Inc. (NVR) had a return on equity (ROE) of 29.5% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is NVR, Inc.'s free cash flow?

NVR, Inc. (NVR) generated $818.2M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in NVR back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →