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$115.47$59.5B
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AFL logo

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 32 analysts

0.3% Above Target

AFL trades 0.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $115.17.

Current Price$115.47
Average Target$115.17
Target
Current
Low$99.00
Median$116.50
High$130.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E16.3x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio34.40
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+3.1%
(Low)
Analyst Spread26.9%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$115.47
Consensus$115.17
High$130.00
Low$99.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes AFL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 32 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 32 published analyst recommendations for AFL

56% hold / mixed conviction
+6
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 32 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage32 Analysts
Net Score+6
Bull / Bear28% / 16%
Strong Buy00%
Buy928%
Hold1856%
Sell516%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
928%
Hold
1856%
Sell
516%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix28% Buy · 56% Hold · 16% Sell
Buy (9)Hold (18)Sell (5)

AFL Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Aflac Incorporated (AFL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $115.17, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $115.47, this represents a potential downside of -0.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $59.49B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $99.00 to a high of $130.00, representing a 27% spread in expectations. The median target of $116.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,18 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, AFL trades at a trailing P/E of 16.9x and forward P/E of 16.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 34.40 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $117.60, with bear and bull scenarios of $74.08 and $154.94 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+7.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
10.2x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MET logo
METMetLife, Inc.
$55.8B$85.58$94.29
+10.2%
Buy8.6x33
PRU logo
PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.
$37.1B$106.53$101.38
-4.8%
Hold7.8x37
UNM logo
UNMUnum Group
$14.5B$89.98$98.33
+9.3%
Hold10.2x30
GNW logo
GNWGenworth Financial, Inc.
$3.4B$8.95——Hold21.1x17
CNO logo
CNOCNO Financial Group, Inc.
$4.8B$50.83$49.00
-3.6%
Hold11.4x17
GL logo
GLGlobe Life Inc.
$13.4B$170.76$174.50
+2.2%
Hold10.9x28
CI logo
CICigna Corporation
$73.6B$279.27$340.91
+22.1%
Buy9.2x39
EQH logo
EQHEquitable Holdings, Inc.
$12.8B$45.29$58.57
+29.3%
Buy6.4x21
LNC logo
LNCLincoln National Corporation
$7.1B$37.17$42.75
+15.0%
Hold4.8x28
PFG logo
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.
$23.7B$109.57$98.86
-9.8%
Hold11.7x25

AFL — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AFL stock.

What is the AFL stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for AFL is $115.17, -0.3% from its current price of $115.47. The below-market target from 32 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is AFL a buy, sell, or hold?

AFL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 18 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $115.17 implies -0.3% downside from current levels.

Is AFL stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 16.3451x, AFL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $115.17 implies -0.3% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can AFL stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $130 for AFL, while the most conservative target is $99. The consensus of $115.17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $155 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover AFL stock?

AFL is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the AFL stock forecast?

The 12-month AFL stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $115.17, with estimates ranging from $99 (bear case) to $130 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $118, with bear/bull scenarios of $74/$155.

What is AFL's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates AFL's fair value at $118 (base case), with a bear case of $74 and bull case of $155. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

What is AFL's forward P/E ratio?

AFL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy AFL stock?

Analysts are cautious on AFL, with 5 Sell ratings and a price target of $115.17 (-0.3% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do AFL price targets vary so much?

AFL analyst price targets range from $99 to $130, a 27% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $115.17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $74-$155 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into AFL consensus models and risk factors.

View Analysis

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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DCA Calculator

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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