FISI trades 3.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $36.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes FISI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Financial Institutions, Inc. (FISI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $36.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $37.36, this represents a potential downside of -3.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $735M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $36.00 to a high of $36.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $36.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, FISI trades at a trailing P/E of 10.3x and forward P/E of 9.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.99 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +9.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $46.24, with bear and bull scenarios of $29.13 and $60.93 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $46.68 | $46.00 | -1.5% | Hold | 11.2x | 10 |
TRMKTrustmark Corporation | $2.6B | $44.67 | $45.50 | +1.9% | Hold | 11.4x | 9 |
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. | $1.6B | $32.45 | $34.00 | +4.8% | Buy | 9.9x | 11 |
EGBNEagle Bancorp, Inc. | $842M | $27.60 | $28.67 | +3.9% | Hold | 16.2x | 14 |
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY | $925M | $52.24 | — | — | Hold | 18.2x | 3 |
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc. | $602M | $14.41 | $14.50 | +0.6% | Hold | 10.7x | 9 |
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc. | $8.0B | $54.73 | $58.50 | +6.9% | Hold | 13.4x | 15 |
WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation | $3.9B | $74.14 | $79.00 | +6.6% | Hold | 11.8x | 13 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $706M | $34.31 | $38.00 | +10.8% | Hold | 9.7x | 7 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.7B | $32.78 | $39.25 | +19.7% | Hold | 16.1x | 15 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FISI stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for FISI is $36, -3.6% from its current price of $37.36. The below-market target from 6 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
FISI has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $36 implies -3.6% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.3051x, FISI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $36 implies -3.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $36 for FISI, while the most conservative target is $36. The consensus of $36 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $61 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FISI is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FISI stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $36, with estimates ranging from $36 (bear case) to $36 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $46, with bear/bull scenarios of $29/$61.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FISI's fair value at $46 (base case), with a bear case of $29 and bull case of $61. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
FISI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 10.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on FISI, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $36 (-3.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FISI analyst price targets range from $36 to $36, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $36 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $29-$61 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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