GSBD trades 4.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $9.25.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GSBD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $9.25, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.64, this represents a potential downside of -4.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.09B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $8.50 to a high of $10.00, representing a 16% spread in expectations. The median target of $9.25 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 0 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, GSBD trades at a trailing P/E of 9.4x and forward P/E of 7.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +145.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $8.26, with bear and bull scenarios of $5.20 and $10.88 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ARCCAres Capital Corporation | $13.8B | $19.15 | $19.00 | -0.8% | Buy | 10.0x | 32 |
 FSCOFS Credit Opportunities Corp. | $1.1B | $5.27 | — | — | — | — | — |
 GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc. | $3.2B | $12.45 | $14.50 | +16.5% | Buy | 9.0x | 12 |
 TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $200M | $4.92 | $5.00 | +1.6% | Hold | 5.5x | 12 |
 CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc. | $780M | $11.22 | $12.00 | +7.0% | Hold | 8.0x | 7 |
 OCSLOaktree Specialty Lending Corporation | $1.1B | $12.16 | $13.00 | +6.9% | Hold | 8.1x | 12 |
 FSKFS KKR Capital Corp. | $3.1B | $11.17 | $12.33 | +10.4% | Hold | 6.9x | 13 |
 BBDCBarings BDC, Inc. | $907M | $8.66 | $10.00 | +15.5% | Buy | 8.3x | 19 |
 SLRCSLR Investment Corp. | $642M | $11.77 | $12.50 | +6.2% | Buy | 9.0x | 15 |
 PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. | $697M | $7.02 | $9.00 | +28.2% | Buy | 6.6x | 11 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GSBD stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for GSBD is $9.25, -4.0% from its current price of $9.64. The below-market target from 9 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
GSBD has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 3 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $9.25 implies -4.0% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.5578x, GSBD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $9.25 implies -4.0% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for GSBD, while the most conservative target is $8.5. The consensus of $9.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $11 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GSBD is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GSBD stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $9.25, with estimates ranging from $8.5 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $8, with bear/bull scenarios of $5/$11.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GSBD's fair value at $8 (base case), with a bear case of $5 and bull case of $11. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
GSBD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on GSBD, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $9.25 (-4.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GSBD analyst price targets range from $8.5 to $10, a 16% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $9.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $5-$11 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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