QD trades at Wall Street's consensus target of —.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes QD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 28, 2026, Qudian Inc. (QD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of N/A, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. The company has a market capitalization of $287M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of N/A to a high of N/A.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, QD trades at a trailing P/E of 38.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -108.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $114.38, with bear and bull scenarios of $72.06 and $150.71 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FINVFinVolution Group | $1.2B | $4.80 | $5.94 | +23.8% | Buy | 0.6x | 4 |
LXLexinFintech Holdings Ltd. | $329M | $1.95 | $3.50 | +79.5% | Buy | 0.4x | 12 |
QFINQfin Holdings, Inc. | $2.1B | $15.81 | $15.33 | -3.0% | Buy | 0.6x | 4 |
CNFCNFinance Holdings Limited | $963881 | $2.87 | — | — | — | 4.0x | — |
LULufax Holding Ltd | $532M | $1.27 | $3.48 | +174.0% | Buy | — | 13 |
JFINJiayin Group Inc. | $158M | $3.01 | — | — | Buy | 0.3x | 1 |
NTESNetEase, Inc. | $79.0B | $123.71 | $149.33 | +20.7% | Buy | 1.9x | 33 |
BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited | $221.3B | $94.83 | $187.14 | +97.3% | Buy | 2.2x | 59 |
JDJD.com, Inc. | $34.3B | $25.39 | $34.33 | +35.2% | Buy | 1.2x | 46 |
BIDUBaidu, Inc. | $35.4B | $104.22 | $160.29 | +53.8% | Buy | 2.0x | 53 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying QD stock.
The consensus price target for QD is $N/A, close to the current price of $2.73 (N/A% implied move). Based on 7 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
QD has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 3 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $N/A implies N/A% upside from current levels.
QD's current price is $2.73 with a consensus target of $N/A (N/A% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $N/A for QD, while the most conservative target is $N/A. The consensus of $N/A represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $151 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
QD is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month QD stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $N/A, with estimates ranging from $N/A (bear case) to $N/A (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $114, with bear/bull scenarios of $72/$151.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates QD's fair value at $114 (base case), with a bear case of $72 and bull case of $151. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
QD appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $N/A target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
QD analyst price targets range from $N/A to $N/A, a NaN% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $N/A consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $72-$151 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.