QFIN trades 0.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $15.33.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes QFIN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 0.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $15.33, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.21, this represents a potential upside of +0.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.98B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $15.33 to a high of $15.33, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $15.33 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, QFIN trades at a trailing P/E of 1.2x and forward P/E of 0.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.02 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -68.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $628.53, with bear and bull scenarios of $395.98 and $828.16 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LXLexinFintech Holdings Ltd. | $337M | $2.00 | $3.50 | +75.0% | Buy | 0.4x | 12 |
FINVFinVolution Group | $1.2B | $4.67 | $5.94 | +27.2% | Buy | 0.6x | 4 |
CNFCNFinance Holdings Limited | $1M | $3.09 | — | — | — | 4.3x | — |
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc. | $3.1B | $32.43 | $37.25 | +14.9% | Buy | 14.1x | 22 |
LCLendingClub Corporation | $2.2B | $19.21 | $22.75 | +18.4% | Buy | 11.0x | 29 |
SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc. | $22.8B | $17.91 | $21.40 | +19.5% | Hold | 30.0x | 27 |
AFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc. | $24.6B | $73.92 | $81.93 | +10.8% | Buy | 59.1x | 33 |
CACCCredit Acceptance Corporation | $6.0B | $579.73 | $540.00 | -6.9% | Hold | 12.0x | 18 |
OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc. | $6.8B | $58.18 | $67.00 | +15.2% | Buy | 8.0x | 31 |
BIDUBaidu, Inc. | $38.0B | $111.76 | $160.29 | +43.4% | Buy | 2.1x | 53 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying QFIN stock.
The consensus price target for QFIN is $15.33, close to the current price of $15.21 (0.8% implied move). Based on 4 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
QFIN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $15.33 implies 0.8% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 0.5351x, QFIN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $15.33 implies 0.8% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $15.33 for QFIN, while the most conservative target is $15.33. The consensus of $15.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $828 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
QFIN is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month QFIN stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $15.33, with estimates ranging from $15.33 (bear case) to $15.33 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $629, with bear/bull scenarios of $396/$828.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates QFIN's fair value at $629 (base case), with a bear case of $396 and bull case of $828. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
QFIN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 1.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
QFIN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $15.33 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
QFIN analyst price targets range from $15.33 to $15.33, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $15.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $396-$828 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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