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RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
$234.89$63.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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RCL logo

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

RCL
NYSE · Travel Services
$234.89
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$63B
P/E15.0x
52W High$356.39
Volume8.31M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Decelerating Growth Masks Strong Margin and Deleveraging

Royal Caribbean is navigating a post-pandemic demand normalization, with revenue growth decelerating to 6.5% in Q2 2026 from 11.3% in Q1, yet margins remain robust (gross margin 47.3%, operating margin 27.0%). The company is deleveraging, with debt-to-equity i...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

RCL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-47% Peers

P/E is 47% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 28 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 72% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 28
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 6.5% in Q2 2026, yet gross margin remained resilient at 47.3%, though operating margin fell to 27.0% from 29.3% a year ago, indicating fading operating leverage.

Analyst Consensus+48.2% target
Buy(52 analysts)
25 Buy21 Hold6 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong business moat

Royal Caribbean has a strong moat, as indicated by its business model and financial snapshot, which supports long-term growth.

High-quality cyclical compounder

RCL is considered a high-quality cyclical compounder with strong demand, expanding margins, and robust adjusted EPS guidance for 2026.

Record demand momentum

The company has achieved record demand, with two-thirds of its 2026 capacity already booked, signaling strong consumer interest.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
RCL-15.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
RCL-26.68%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
RCL+167.25%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+73.99%
5-Year Return
RCL+185.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+59.71%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
15.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
13.2x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
13.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
2.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
15.0x
20.5x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
13.0x
15.0x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
51.0x
61.6x
33rd· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$155.08-34.0%
Base (Fair)$288.13+17.2%
Bull$405.83+72.8%
$155.08 Bear$288.13 Base$405.83 Bull
Current Market Price: $234.89
Trades at a 18.5% discount to Base DCF ($288.13)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$17.93B+8.8% YoY
Net income
$4.27B+48.5% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.24B-38.1% YoY
Operating margin
27.4%+2.5 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)12.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)47.5%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 28, 2026
$4.21+5.8%
vs $3.98
$4.8B+0.3%
vs $4.8B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$3.60+11.1%
vs $3.24
$4.5B-0.3%
vs $4.5B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$2.80+0.0%
vs $2.80
$4.3B-0.1%
vs $4.3B
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
$5.75+1.1%
vs $5.69
$5.1B-0.5%
vs $5.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·Sep 15, 2026
Norwegian Falls 3% as Wells Fargo Trims Carnival Target on Caribbean Pricing Pressure; Carnival Slips, Royal Caribbean Dips

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH | NCLH Price Prediction) is leading a cruise-sector pullback midday Tuesday after Wells Fargo trimmed its price target on a rival operator and cited Caribbean pricing pressure. Norwegian stock is down 3% to $14.

PRNewsWire·Sep 15, 2026
ROYAL CARIBBEAN NAMES RETIRED U.S. AIR FORCE GEN. LORI J. ROBINSON GODMOTHER OF LEGEND OF THE SEAS

The trailblazing leader will celebrate the U.S. arrival of the vacation brand's newest Icon Class vacation this November during a Veterans Day naming ceremony in Fort Lauderdale, Florida MIAMI, Sept. 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Ahead of the boldest family vacation's arrival to Fort Lauderdale, Royal Caribbean has named retired U.S. Air Force Gen.

The Motley Fool·Sep 14, 2026
Royal Caribbean Cruises vs. Walmart: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Royal Caribbean Cruises maintains high profitability by leveraging a massive global fleet and a network of 28 million loyalty members. Walmart provides essential stability through a massive omnichannel ecosystem that serves roughly 280 million customers every week.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 11, 2026
Here's Why Royal Caribbean (RCL) is a Strong Value Stock

The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.

Filtered for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark RCL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
RCL logoRCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.Current
$234.89$63B15.058.8%23.82%47.53%0.41%
CCL logoCCLCarnival Corporation & plc
$22.28$30.52B11.036.4%11.24%24.43%—
NCLH logoNCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
$14.22$6.53B15.803.67%7.49%32.35%—
VIK logoVIKViking Holdings Ltd
$81.02$35.99B31.5321.89%18%146.63%—
HLT logoHLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
$308.44$69.42B50.407.74%12.69%——
MAR logoMARMarriott International, Inc.
$348.06$90.76B36.684.33%9.62%——

Compare RCL vs Peers

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CCL

Most directly comparable listed peer for RCL.

Scale Benchmark

vs DIS

Larger-name benchmark to compare RCL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CCL, NCLH, VIK, HLT

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

RCL SEC Filings & Documents

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 14, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 28, 2025·SEC

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RCL Frequently Asked Questions

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s revenue?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) reported $18.68B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1276% increase from $1.36B in 1996.

How fast is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. growing?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) grew revenue by 8.8% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is RCL profitable?

Yes, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is profitable, generating $4.40B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (23.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does RCL pay dividends?

Yes, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.41%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is RCL's return on equity?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) has a return on equity (ROE) of 47.5%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s free cash flow?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) had negative free cash flow of $416.0M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in RCL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →