VCP ScannerFree US Stock Screener & Financial AnalysisFree US Stock Screener
ScreenerThemes
DCF ValuationCalculate intrinsic value of US stocks
Market ValuationBuffett indicator, CAPE & macro gauges
Total ReturnSee dividends + price return history
DCA CalculatorSimulate recurring buys & compounding
Earnings
FAANG & Tech
AAPL vs MSFTNVDA vs AMDGOOGL vs META
Cloud & Cyber
CRM vs NOWCRWD vs PANWSNOW vs DDOG
Consumer & Auto
TSLA vs FAMZN vs WMTNFLX vs DIS
Finance & Crypto
JPM vs BACV vs MACOIN vs MSTR
Pharma & Energy
LLY vs NVOJNJ vs PFEXOM vs CVX
Compare Any Stocks...
WatchlistInsider
ScreenerThemes
Earnings
WatchlistInsider
SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp.
$14.60$122M
Overview & Verdict
Overview
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice HistoryTechnical Analysis
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Ownership
Holders
← Back to Screener
VCP ScannerFree US Stock Screener & Financial Analysis

Find stocks. Verify deeply. Act with conviction.

Data updated daily

Product

  • Screener
  • Themes
  • Valuation
  • Total Return
  • DCA Calculator
  • News
  • Earnings

Resources

  • Market Valuation
  • Compare
  • Insider Activity
  • Methodology
  • How It Works
  • Glossary
  • Learn

Get Ideas

Get weekly stock ideas — free

© 2026 VCP Scanner
AboutPrivacyTerms
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
ScreenerNewsCompareWatchlist
HomeStocksSDHCPrice Target
SDHC logo

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 26, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 5 analysts

4.1% Above Target

SDHC trades 4.1% above Wall Street's consensus target of $14.00.

Current Price$14.60
Average Target$14.00
Low$14.00
Median$14.00
High$14.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E28.1x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-45.2%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$14.60
Consensus$14.00
High$14.00
Low$14.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes SDHC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 28.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 5 published analyst recommendations for SDHC

80% hold / mixed conviction
-10
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 5 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage5 Analysts
Net Score-10
Bull / Bear0% / 20%
Strong Buy00%
Buy00%
Hold480%
Sell120%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
00%
Hold
480%
Sell
120%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix0% Buy · 80% Hold · 20% Sell
Buy (0)Hold (4)Sell (1)

SDHC Price Target Analysis

Updated June 28, 2026

As of June 28, 2026, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $14.60, this represents a potential downside of -4.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $122M.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $14.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 0 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, SDHC trades at a trailing P/E of 12.6x and forward P/E of 28.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -45.2% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $12.85, with bear and bull scenarios of $8.09 and $16.93 respectively. Model confidence stands at 39/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+7.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
17.8x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
SKY logo
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.
$4.9B$88.82$93.00
+4.7%
Buy23.6x8
LGIH logo
LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.
$1.5B$65.84$88.80
+34.9%
Buy22.8x13
CVCO logo
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.
$4.8B$618.30$700.00
+13.2%
Buy25.9x2
GRBK logo
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.
$3.5B$80.24——Hold13.8x12
TMHC logo
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation
$6.7B$71.84$72.75
+1.3%
Buy13.6x31
DHI logo
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.
$48.2B$166.29$163.86
-1.5%
Hold15.7x52
LEN logo
LENLennar Corporation
$23.2B$93.52$89.17
-4.7%
Buy16.6x50
PHM logo
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.
$26.4B$137.61$144.50
+5.0%
Hold13.8x44
TOL logo
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.
$15.5B$164.06$173.88
+6.0%
Hold12.8x46
NVR logo
NVRNVR, Inc.
$18.4B$6828.62$7465.33
+9.3%
Buy19.1x24

SDHC — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SDHC stock.

What is the SDHC stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for SDHC is $14, -4.1% from its current price of $14.6. The below-market target from 5 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is SDHC a buy, sell, or hold?

SDHC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 1 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $14 implies -4.1% downside from current levels.

Is SDHC stock overvalued or undervalued?

SDHC trades at a forward P/E of 28.131x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $14 (-4.1% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

How high can SDHC stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14 for SDHC, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $14 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $17 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover SDHC stock?

SDHC is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the SDHC stock forecast?

The 12-month SDHC stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $14 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $13, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$17.

What is SDHC's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates SDHC's fair value at $13 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $17. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 39/100.

What is SDHC's forward P/E ratio?

SDHC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.6x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy SDHC stock?

Analysts are cautious on SDHC, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $14 (-4.1% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do SDHC price targets vary so much?

SDHC analyst price targets range from $14 to $14, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$17 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

Check Valuation

Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

Calculate

DCA Calculator

See how regular investing compounds over time.

Run Numbers

Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

Compare