Upside case
Bull case
—
The bull case requires both strong earnings delivery and the market pricing STLA more generously than it does today.
Analysis OverviewHoldUpdated May 1, 2026
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Hold
Covering
14
analysts
6 bullish · 0 bearish · 14 covering STLA
Strong Buy
0
Buy
6
Hold
8
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
$11
+49.4% vs today
Scenario Range
— – —
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
14
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
9.4x
Forward P/E · Market cap $20.9B
STLA price targets
Three scenarios for where STLA stock could go
Current
~$7
Confidence
41 / 100
Updated
May 1, 2026
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
—
The base case reflects analyst consensus expectations — steady delivery without requiring a major catalyst or re-rating.
Stress case
Bear case
—
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
Stellantis N.V.
STLA · NYSEConsumer CyclicalAuto - ManufacturersDecember year-end
Stellantis is a global automotive manufacturer that designs, produces, and sells a diverse portfolio of passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles across multiple brands. It generates revenue primarily through vehicle sales — with Jeep, Ram, and Peugeot as key volume drivers — supplemented by parts, services, and financing operations. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive scale and brand portfolio spanning mainstream, premium, and luxury segments, which provides cost efficiencies and market coverage across Europe, North America, and other regions.
Market Cap
$20.9B
Revenue TTM
$337.4B
Net Income TTM
-$20.8B
Net Margin
-6.2%
STLA Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
64%Exceptional
12 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
73%Exceptional
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
+177.8%
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q4 2024
Q2 2025
Q4 2025
Q1 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 1 of 4Q4 2024
EPS
$2.00/$2.40
Revenue
$91.4B/$93.5B
Q2 2025
EPS
$-0.05/$0.25
Revenue
$74.4B/$73.5B
Q4 2025
EPS
$-0.92/$0.41
Revenue
$87.4B/$87.9B
Q1 2026
EPS
$-0.70/$-2.67
Revenue
$93.1B/$92.8B
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $2.00/$2.40 | -16.7% | $91.4B/$93.5B | -2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $-0.05/$0.25 | -121.8% | $74.4B/$73.5B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $-0.92/$0.41 | -321.9% | $87.4B/$87.9B | -0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $-0.70/$-2.67 | +73.6% | $93.1B/$92.8B | +0.3% |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$346.7B
+2.8% YoY
FY2
$395.5B
+14.1% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$-6.33
+12.0% YoY
FY2
$-7.01
-10.7% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)-$21.0B
FCF Margin: -6.2%
Next Earnings
—
Expected EPS
—
Expected Revenue
—
STLA beat EPS estimates in 1 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
STLA Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $128.0B
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Segment breakdown not available for this company.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
North America
49.9%
-2.2% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
North America is the largest reported region at 49.9%, down 2.2% YoY.
STLA Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Significantly Undervalued
Fair value est. $28 — implies +288.1% from today's price.
Upside to Fair Value
288.1%
potential upside
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
STLA
-0.7x
vs
S&P 500
25.1x
103% discount
vs Consumer Cyclical Trailing P/E
STLA
-0.7x
vs
Consumer Cyclical
19.3x
103% discount
vs STLA 5Y Avg P/E
Today
-0.7x
vs
5Y Average
4.5x
115% discount
Forward PE
9.4x
S&P 500
19.1x
-51%
Consumer Cyclical
15.1x
-38%
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
-0.7x
S&P 500
25.1x
-103%
Consumer Cyclical
19.3x
-103%
5Y Avg
4.5x
-115%
PEG Ratio
—
S&P 500
1.72x
—
Consumer Cyclical
0.91x
—
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
—
S&P 500
15.2x
—
Consumer Cyclical
11.3x
—
5Y Avg
2.2x
—
Price/FCF
—
S&P 500
21.1x
—
Consumer Cyclical
14.6x
—
5Y Avg
5.7x
—
Price/Sales
0.1x
S&P 500
3.1x
-97%
Consumer Cyclical
0.7x
-86%
5Y Avg
0.3x
-66%
Dividend Yield
11.06%
S&P 500
1.87%
+492%
Consumer Cyclical
2.23%
+397%
5Y Avg
7.71%
+43%
| Metric | STLA | S&P 500 | Consumer Cyclical | 5Y Avg STLA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 9.4x | 19.1x-51% | 15.1x-38% | — |
| Trailing PE | -0.7x | 25.1x-103% | 19.3x-103% | 4.5x-115% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.72x | 0.91x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 15.2x | 11.3x | 2.2x |
| Price/FCF | — | 21.1x | 14.6x | 5.7x |
| Price/Sales | 0.1x | 3.1x-97% | 0.7x-86% | 0.3x-66% |
| Dividend Yield | 11.06% | 1.87% | 2.23% | 7.71% |
STLA trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 0 of 3 measured multiples — appears modestly priced relative to the S&P 500 on most measures.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolSTLA Financial Health
Verdict
Stressed
STLA returns 11.1% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Cash Engine
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$337.4B
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+114.5%
Gross Margin
Gross profit as a share of revenue
5.5%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
-6.6%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
-6.2%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
$-7.20
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
Cash generation after capex
-$21.0B
FCF Margin
FCF as share of revenue — the primary cash quality signal
-6.2%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
-25.3%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
-10.3%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$30.1B
Net Debt
Total debt minus cash
$15.8B
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
—
ROE *
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
-28.5%
* Elevated by buyback-compressed equity — compare ROIC (-25.3%) for an undistorted picture of capital efficiency.
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
11.1%
Dividend
11.1%
Buyback
0.0%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$0
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
$0.68
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
—
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count
2.9B
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt). ROE marked * where buyback-compressed equity base may inflate the figure.
Open full ratios pageSTLA Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
High Risk
Legal and Regulatory Risks
Stellantis is currently facing securities fraud investigations and class-action lawsuits alleging misleading statements regarding earnings forecasts and electrification strategy. These legal challenges have raised investor concerns and resulted in significant charges related to a strategic reset.
High Risk
Electrification and Technological Disruption
The automotive industry is shifting towards electrification, with Stellantis facing intense competition from established automakers and new entrants like Tesla and BYD. The company's ability to navigate this transition and develop competitive EV models is critical, especially as concerns arise over the validity of its electrification strategy.
High Risk
Tariffs and Trade Policy Uncertainty
Tariffs in the U.S. are projected to impact Stellantis by approximately €1.5 billion for the fiscal year 2025. Uncertainties in trade policy may force the company to adjust its financial guidance, further complicating its operational landscape.
Medium
Market Competition and Pricing Pressure
Stellantis operates in a highly competitive global market, facing challenges from Chinese EV manufacturers and established players like Volkswagen and Renault. In North America, declining market share and inventory issues contribute to pricing pressures that could affect the company's profitability.
Medium
Financial and Corporate Risks
Stellantis's debt-to-equity ratio has increased as it finances significant capital expenditures for new technologies, indicating a shift towards greater financial leverage. This trend, while still below the industry median, raises concerns about the company's governance structure due to its complex shareholding composition.
Lower
Product Execution and Launch Risks
The success of new product launches, such as the Jeep Cherokee and Dodge Charger, is crucial for Stellantis's turnaround strategy. Any failures or delays in these launches could hinder the company's recovery efforts.
Lower
Macroeconomic Factors
The automotive industry is cyclical, and factors like economic outlook, rising interest rates, and fluctuating demand can impact sales. Geopolitical events and trade tensions also pose risks that could affect the company's performance.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why STLA Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Attractive Valuation and Financial Strength
Stellantis's current stock price is significantly lower than its intrinsic value, indicating potential for price appreciation. The company maintains a strong financial position with substantial liquidity, allowing it to manage operational costs like recalls without hindering strategic investments.
Strong Double-Digit Margins
Stellantis consistently achieves double-digit margins, which are among the best in the automotive industry, outperforming its main competitors. This robust margin performance supports its financial health and operational efficiency.
Multi-Billion-Dollar Product Offensive
The company is executing a multi-billion-dollar product offensive, including the reintroduction of the Jeep Cherokee as a hybrid, targeting the lucrative mid-size SUV market. This initiative is expected to drive sales and enhance market share in a competitive segment.
Growing Electric Vehicle Portfolio
Stellantis is actively developing its electric vehicle (EV) strategy, with a growing portfolio of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plans for many more in the coming years. This positions the company to capitalize on the increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions.
Strategic Positioning for Industry Consolidation
The automotive industry is poised for consolidation, and Stellantis, with its diverse brand portfolio and strong financials, is well-positioned to be a key player in potential mergers or acquisitions. Its ability to spin off or sell brands enhances its attractiveness as a partner in consolidation scenarios.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
STLA Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$7.20
52W Range Position
15%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$6.29
+14.6% from the low
52-Week High
$12.22
-41.1% from the high
1 Month
-3.74%
3 Month
-24.53%
YTD
-37.0%
1 Year
-23.8%
3Y CAGR
-23.8%
5Y CAGR
-16.7%
10Y CAGR
-0.6%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
STLA vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
9.4x
vs 6.7x median
+39% above peer median
Revenue Growth
+2.8%
vs +5.0% median
-45% below peer median
Net Margin
-6.2%
vs 2.3% median
-365% below peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
STL STLA Stellantis N.V. | $20.9B | 9.4x | +2.8% | -6.2% | Hold | +49.4% |
GM GM General Motors Company | $68.7B | 6.0x | +1.7% | 1.4% | Buy | +20.5% |
F F Ford Motor Company | $45.8B | 7.4x | +2.5% | -3.2% | Hold | +19.5% |
TM TM Toyota Motor Corporation | $247.6B | 0.1x | +9.0% | 9.4% | Hold | -5.6% |
HMC HMC Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $31.3B | — | +7.7% | 2.3% | Hold | +30.4% |
TSL TSLA Tesla, Inc. | $1.46T | 201.3x | +5.0% | 4.0% | Hold | +15.7% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
STLA Dividend and Capital Return
STLA returns 11.1% total yield, led by a 11.06% dividend.
Dividend UnknownFCF Unknown
Total Shareholder Yield
11.1%
Dividend + buyback return per year
Buyback Yield
0.0%
Dividend Yield
11.06%
Payout Ratio
—
How STLA Splits Its Return
Div 11.06%
Dividend 11.06%Buybacks 0.0%
Dividend Profile
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
Dividend / Share
Trailing annualized cash dividend
$0.68
Growth Streak
Consecutive years of dividend increases
0Y
3Y Div CAGR
-11.7%
5Y Div CAGR
2.0%
Ex-Dividend Date
—
Payment Cadence
Annual
0 payments over the last 12 months
Buyback Engine
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Repurchases (TTM)
Cash used for buybacks in the latest trailing period
$0
Estimated Shares Retired
0
Approx. Share Reduction
0.0%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count from the screening snapshot
2.9B
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $0.77 | -53.3% | 0.0% | 6.2% |
| 2024 | $1.65 | +12.2% | 7.7% | 19.7% |
| 2023 | $1.47 | +31.3% | 3.3% | 9.1% |
| 2022 | $1.12 | -59.0% | 2.1% | 9.5% |
| 2021 | $2.74 | +290.8% | 0.0% | 7.1% |
FAQ
7 questionsSTLA Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is Stellantis N.V. (STLA) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) is rated Hold by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 14 analysts covering the stock, 6 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 8 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $11, implying +49.4% from the current price of $7.
02What is the STLA stock price target for 2026?
The Wall Street consensus price target for STLA is $11 based on 14 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $15 (+108.3% from today), and the low-end target is $8 (+11.1%).
03Is Stellantis N.V. (STLA) stock overvalued in 2026?
STLA trades at 9.4x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals significantly undervalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
04What are the main risks for Stellantis N.V. (STLA) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for STLA in 2026 are: (1) Legal and Regulatory Risks — Stellantis is currently facing securities fraud investigations and class-action lawsuits alleging misleading statements regarding earnings forecasts and electrification strategy. (2) Electrification and Technological Disruption — The automotive industry is shifting towards electrification, with Stellantis facing intense competition from established automakers and new entrants like Tesla and BYD. (3) Tariffs and Trade Policy Uncertainty — Tariffs in the U. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
05What is Stellantis N.V.'s revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates STLA will report consensus revenue of $346.7B (+2.8% year-over-year) and EPS of $-6.33 (+12.0% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $395.5B in revenue.
06When does Stellantis N.V. (STLA) report its next earnings?
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for STLA is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
07How much free cash flow does Stellantis N.V. generate?
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) had a free cash outflow of $21.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 6.2%. STLA returns capital to shareholders through dividends (11.1% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).