Upside case
Bull case
$9+38.2%
STLA would need investors to value it at roughly 12x earnings — about 3x more generous than today's 9x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Analysis OverviewHoldUpdated Jun 18, 2026
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Hold
Covering
14
analysts
6 bullish · 0 bearish · 14 covering STLA
Strong Buy
0
Buy
6
Hold
8
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
$11
+66.6% vs today
Scenario Range
$4 – $9
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
14
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
8.6x
Forward P/E · Market cap $18.4B
STLA price targets
Three scenarios for where STLA stock could go
Current
~$6
Confidence
45 / 100
Updated
Jun 18, 2026
Where we are now
Current · $6
Bear
$4
Base
$7
Bull
$9
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
$7+4.9%
This is close to how the market is already pricing STLA — at roughly 9x forward earnings. No dramatic re-rating needed, just steady execution on the core business.
Stress case
Bear case
$4-33.9%
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 3x multiple contraction could push STLA down roughly 34% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
Stellantis N.V.
STLA · NYSEConsumer CyclicalAuto - ManufacturersDecember year-end
Stellantis is a global automotive manufacturer that designs, produces, and sells a diverse portfolio of passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles across multiple brands. It generates revenue primarily through vehicle sales — with Jeep, Ram, and Peugeot as key volume drivers — supplemented by parts, services, and financing operations. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive scale and brand portfolio spanning mainstream, premium, and luxury segments, which provides cost efficiencies and market coverage across Europe, North America, and other regions.
Market Cap
$18.4B
Revenue TTM
$337.4B
Net Income TTM
-$20.8B
Net Margin
-6.2%
STLA Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
58%Exceptional
12 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
67%Exceptional
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
+155.5%
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q2 2025
Q4 2025
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 1 of 4Q2 2025
EPS
$-0.05/$0.25
Revenue
$74.4B/$73.5B
Q4 2025
EPS
$-0.92/$0.41
Revenue
$87.4B/$87.9B
Q1 2026
EPS
$-0.70/$-2.67
Revenue
$93.1B/$92.8B
Q2 2026
EPS
$0.16/$1.49
Revenue
$43.9B/$86.4B
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $-0.05/$0.25 | -121.8% | $74.4B/$73.5B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $-0.92/$0.41 | -321.9% | $87.4B/$87.9B | -0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $-0.70/$-2.67 | +73.6% | $93.1B/$92.8B | +0.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.16/$1.49 | -89.2% | $43.9B/$86.4B | -49.2% |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$354.0B
+4.9% YoY
FY2
$363.0B
+2.5% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$-2.73
+62.1% YoY
FY2
$0.37
+113.5% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)-$21.0B
FCF Margin: -6.2%
Next Earnings
July 30, 2026
Expected EPS
$0.25
Expected Revenue
$48.9B
STLA beat EPS estimates in 1 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
STLA Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $128.0B
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Segment breakdown not available for this company.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
North America
49.9%
-2.2% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
North America is the largest reported region at 49.9%, down 2.2% YoY.
STLA Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Limited: Expensive versus peers
Fair value est. $2 — implies -67.8% from today's price.
Premium to Fair Value
67.8%
above fair value
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
STLA
-0.6x
vs
S&P 500
24.4x
102% discount
vs Consumer Cyclical Trailing P/E
STLA
-0.6x
vs
Consumer Cyclical
21.2x
103% discount
vs STLA 5Y Avg P/E
Today
-0.6x
vs
5Y Average
4.5x
114% discount
Forward PE
8.6x
S&P 500
18.8x
-54%
Consumer Cyclical
16.3x
-47%
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
-0.6x
S&P 500
24.4x
-102%
Consumer Cyclical
21.2x
-103%
5Y Avg
4.5x
-114%
PEG Ratio
—
S&P 500
1.66x
—
Consumer Cyclical
0.92x
—
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
—
S&P 500
15.2x
—
Consumer Cyclical
12.2x
—
5Y Avg
2.2x
—
Price/FCF
—
S&P 500
20.7x
—
Consumer Cyclical
15.6x
—
5Y Avg
5.7x
—
Price/Sales
0.1x
S&P 500
3.1x
-97%
Consumer Cyclical
0.7x
-87%
5Y Avg
0.3x
-70%
Dividend Yield
12.32%
S&P 500
1.91%
+544%
Consumer Cyclical
2.17%
+467%
5Y Avg
7.71%
+60%
| Metric | STLA | S&P 500 | Consumer Cyclical | 5Y Avg STLA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 8.6x | 18.8x-54% | 16.3x-47% | — |
| Trailing PE | -0.6x | 24.4x-102% | 21.2x-103% | 4.5x-114% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.66x | 0.92x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 15.2x | 12.2x | 2.2x |
| Price/FCF | — | 20.7x | 15.6x | 5.7x |
| Price/Sales | 0.1x | 3.1x-97% | 0.7x-87% | 0.3x-70% |
| Dividend Yield | 12.32% | 1.91% | 2.17% | 7.71% |
STLA trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 0 of 3 measured multiples — appears modestly priced relative to the S&P 500 on most measures.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolSTLA Financial Health
Verdict
Stressed
STLA returns 12.3% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Cash Engine
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$337.4B
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+114.5%
Gross Margin
Gross profit as a share of revenue
5.5%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
-6.6%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
-6.2%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
$-7.20
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
Cash generation after capex
-$21.0B
FCF Margin
FCF as share of revenue — the primary cash quality signal
-6.2%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
-25.3%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
-10.3%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$30.1B
Net Debt
Total debt minus cash
$15.8B
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
—
ROE *
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
-28.5%
* Elevated by buyback-compressed equity — compare ROIC (-25.3%) for an undistorted picture of capital efficiency.
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
12.3%
Dividend
12.3%
Buyback
0.0%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$0
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
$0.68
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
—
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count
2.9B
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt). ROE marked * where buyback-compressed equity base may inflate the figure.
Open full ratios pageSTLA Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
High Risk
Valuation de-rating
STLA's trailing and forward P/E ratios are low, indicating potential undervaluation or market skepticism about future earnings.
Medium
Regulatory and environmental risks
Environmental and other regulatory matters could impose additional costs or restrictions on operations.
Medium
Financial services exposure
Dependence on Stellantis Financial Services for financing solutions may expose the company to credit and liquidity risks.
Lower
Operational complexity
Managing a diverse portfolio of 14 automotive brands and two mobility arms may lead to inefficiencies or integration challenges.
Medium
Market competition
Intense competition in the global automotive industry could pressure margins and market share.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why STLA Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
Strong analyst price targets
Wall Street analysts project a significant 12-month upside of 54.9% with a $11.59 price target and a long-term 2030 base case of $779.92.
Diverse brand portfolio
Stellantis operates 14 iconic automotive brands and two mobility arms, offering a wide range of innovative mobility solutions.
Innovative financial services
Stellantis Financial Services provides flexible financing options for its premier automotive brands, enhancing customer accessibility and revenue streams.
Global automaker leadership
As a leading global automaker, Stellantis is positioned to capitalize on worldwide automotive and mobility trends.
Comprehensive investor resources
Stellantis offers extensive financial documentation and analysis, supporting transparent investor relations and informed decision-making.
Strong financial health
Fundamental analysis indicates robust financial health, with positive tech exposure and smart money sentiment.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
STLA Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$6.34
52W Range Position
1%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$6.29
+0.9% from the low
52-Week High
$12.22
-48.1% from the high
1 Month
-14.44%
3 Month
-2.46%
YTD
-44.5%
1 Year
-33.6%
3Y CAGR
-27.8%
5Y CAGR
-20.1%
10Y CAGR
-1.0%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
STLA vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
8.6x
vs 6.2x median
+39% above peer median
Revenue Growth
+4.9%
vs +6.7% median
-27% below peer median
Net Margin
-6.2%
vs 1.4% median
-548% below peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
STL STLA Stellantis N.V. | $18.4B | 8.6x | +4.9% | -6.2% | Hold | +66.6% |
GM GM General Motors Company | $71.5B | 6.2x | +1.7% | 1.4% | Buy | +18.3% |
F F Ford Motor Company | $55.0B | 8.4x | +2.0% | -3.2% | Hold | +5.1% |
TM TM Toyota Motor Corporation | $226.7B | 0.1x | +8.2% | 7.6% | Hold | +3.1% |
HMC HMC Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $34.1B | 0.1x | +6.7% | -2.0% | Hold | +20.0% |
TSL TSLA Tesla, Inc. | $1.50T | 212.2x | +8.2% | 4.0% | Hold | +12.5% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
STLA Dividend and Capital Return
STLA returns 12.3% total yield, led by a 12.32% dividend.
Dividend UnknownFCF Unknown
Total Shareholder Yield
12.3%
Dividend + buyback return per year
Buyback Yield
0.0%
Dividend Yield
12.32%
Payout Ratio
—
How STLA Splits Its Return
Div 12.32%
Dividend 12.32%Buybacks 0.0%
Dividend Profile
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
Dividend / Share
Trailing annualized cash dividend
$0.68
Growth Streak
Consecutive years of dividend increases
0Y
3Y Div CAGR
-11.7%
5Y Div CAGR
2.0%
Ex-Dividend Date
—
Payment Cadence
Annual
0 payments over the last 12 months
Buyback Engine
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Repurchases (TTM)
Cash used for buybacks in the latest trailing period
$0
Estimated Shares Retired
0
Approx. Share Reduction
0.0%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count from the screening snapshot
2.9B
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $0.77 | -53.3% | 0.0% | 6.2% |
| 2024 | $1.65 | +12.2% | 7.7% | 19.7% |
| 2023 | $1.47 | +31.3% | 3.3% | 9.1% |
| 2022 | $1.12 | -58.9% | 2.1% | 9.5% |
| 2021 | $2.73 | +290.4% | 0.0% | 7.1% |
FAQ
7 questionsSTLA Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is Stellantis N.V. (STLA) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) is rated Hold by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 14 analysts covering the stock, 6 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 8 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $11, implying +66.6% from the current price of $6. The bear case scenario is $4 and the bull case is $9.
02What is the STLA stock price target for 2026?
The Wall Street consensus price target for STLA is $11 based on 14 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $15 (+136.6% from today), and the low-end target is $8 (+26.2%). The base case model target is $7.
03Is Stellantis N.V. (STLA) stock overvalued in 2026?
STLA trades at 8.6x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals limited: expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
04What are the main risks for Stellantis N.V. (STLA) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for STLA in 2026 are: (1) Valuation de-rating — STLA's trailing and forward P/E ratios are low, indicating potential undervaluation or market skepticism about future earnings. (2) Regulatory and environmental risks — Environmental and other regulatory matters could impose additional costs or restrictions on operations. (3) Financial services exposure — Dependence on Stellantis Financial Services for financing solutions may expose the company to credit and liquidity risks. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
05What is Stellantis N.V.'s revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates STLA will report consensus revenue of $354.0B (+4.9% year-over-year) and EPS of $-2.73 (+62.1% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $363.0B in revenue.
06When does Stellantis N.V. (STLA) report its next earnings?
Stellantis N.V. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-30. Consensus expects EPS of $0.25 and revenue of $48.9B. Over recent quarters, STLA has beaten EPS estimates 58% of the time.
07How much free cash flow does Stellantis N.V. generate?
Stellantis N.V. (STLA) had a free cash outflow of $21.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 6.2%. STLA returns capital to shareholders through dividends (12.3% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).