Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$67.89
Price Target
$72.00
Target Range
$72.00 — $72.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E41.0x
Trailing P/E73.0x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+25.6%
Median Target$72.00
Analyst Spread0.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$72
+6.1%
Consensus
$72
+6.1%
Bull Case
$72
+6.1%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 50/100
Bear$58
Base$148
Bull$594
TFIN Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $72.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $67.89, this represents a potential upside of +6.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.62B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $72.00 to a high of $72.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $72.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, TFIN trades at a trailing P/E of 73.0x and forward P/E of 41.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +25.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $148.28, with bear and bull scenarios of $57.95 and $594.49 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+10.6%
Avg Forward P/E14.2x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TCBKTriCo Bancshares | $1.6B | $50.82 | $57.33 | +12.8% | Buy | 12.0x | 12 |
 CVBFCVB Financial Corp. | $2.8B | $20.51 | $24.75 | +20.7% | Hold | 14.2x | 16 |
 BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $10.3B | $133.45 | $131.57 | -1.4% | Hold | 13.0x | 21 |
 IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $699M | $33.95 | $38.00 | +11.9% | Hold | 9.6x | 7 |
 FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.6B | $32.39 | $39.25 | +21.2% | Hold | 15.9x | 15 |
 WRLDWorld Acceptance Corporation | $753M | $149.53 | — | — | Hold | 21.1x | 10 |
 ECPGEncore Capital Group, Inc. | $1.8B | $82.22 | $85.00 | +3.4% | Buy | 6.9x | 15 |
 PRAAPRA Group, Inc. | $803M | $20.88 | $26.00 | +24.5% | Hold | 25.9x | 13 |
 NAVINavient Corporation | $826M | $8.79 | $8.67 | -1.4% | Hold | 12.3x | 24 |
 CACCCredit Acceptance Corporation | $5.4B | $522.87 | $540.00 | +3.3% | Hold | 11.3x | 18 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonTFIN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TFIN stock.
What is the TFIN stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for TFIN is $72, close to the current price of $67.89 (6.1% implied move). Based on 9 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is TFIN a buy, sell, or hold?
TFIN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $72 implies 6.1% upside from current levels.
Is TFIN stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 40.9964x, TFIN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $72 (6.1% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can TFIN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $72 for TFIN, while the most conservative target is $72. The consensus of $72 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $594 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TFIN stock?
TFIN is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TFIN stock forecast?
The 12-month TFIN stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $72, with estimates ranging from $72 (bear case) to $72 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $148, with bear/bull scenarios of $58/$594.
What is TFIN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TFIN's fair value at $148 (base case), with a bear case of $58 and bull case of $594. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
What is TFIN's forward P/E ratio?
TFIN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 41.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 73.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TFIN stock?
TFIN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $72 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TFIN price targets vary so much?
TFIN analyst price targets range from $72 to $72, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $72 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $58-$594 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.