TFIN trades 6.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $72.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes TFIN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 43.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 28, 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $72.00, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $76.81, this represents a potential downside of -6.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.83B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $72.00 to a high of $72.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $72.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, TFIN trades at a trailing P/E of 82.6x and forward P/E of 43.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +33.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $27.92, with bear and bull scenarios of $17.59 and $36.79 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TCBKTriCo Bancshares | $1.7B | $53.91 | $57.33 | +6.3% | Buy | 12.8x | 12 |
CVBFCVB Financial Corp. | $3.0B | $22.46 | $27.00 | +20.2% | Hold | 15.6x | 16 |
BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $8.5B | $139.10 | $132.00 | -5.1% | Hold | 13.5x | 21 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $747M | $36.23 | $38.00 | +4.9% | Hold | 10.2x | 7 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $5.0B | $35.24 | $39.25 | +11.4% | Hold | 17.3x | 15 |
WRLDWorld Acceptance Corporation | $992M | $213.77 | — | — | Hold | 30.2x | 10 |
ECPGEncore Capital Group, Inc. | $1.9B | $90.62 | $85.00 | -6.2% | Buy | 7.0x | 15 |
PRAAPRA Group, Inc. | $722M | $18.93 | $25.00 | +32.1% | Hold | 7.5x | 13 |
NAVINavient Corporation | $818M | $8.70 | $8.67 | -0.3% | Hold | 12.1x | 24 |
CACCCredit Acceptance Corporation | $6.6B | $628.86 | $540.00 | -14.1% | Hold | 13.1x | 18 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TFIN stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for TFIN is $72, -6.3% from its current price of $76.81. The below-market target from 9 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
TFIN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $72 implies -6.3% downside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 43.5925x, TFIN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $72 (-6.3% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $72 for TFIN, while the most conservative target is $72. The consensus of $72 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $37 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TFIN is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TFIN stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $72, with estimates ranging from $72 (bear case) to $72 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $28, with bear/bull scenarios of $18/$37.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TFIN's fair value at $28 (base case), with a bear case of $18 and bull case of $37. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
TFIN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 43.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 82.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on TFIN, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $72 (-6.3% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TFIN analyst price targets range from $72 to $72, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $72 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $18-$37 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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