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Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$14.60
Market reference
Price Target
$25.00
+71.2% Upside
Target Range
$25.00 — $25.00
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Buy
24 analysts
Forward P/E2.3x
Trailing P/E23.6x
Forward PEG0.19
Implied Growth-7.1%
Median Target$25.00
Analyst Spread0.0%

Analysts see +71.2% upside to their consensus target of $25.00. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$14.60
Consensus$25.00
High$25.00
Low$25.00
Model$168.31
Bear Case
$25
+71.2%
Consensus
$25
+71.2%
Bull Case
$25
+71.2%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 44/100
Bear$22
Base$168
Bull$273

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 24 published analyst recommendations for TME

38% hold / mixed conviction
+27
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 24 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage24 Analysts
Net Score+27
Bull / Bear58% / 4%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1458%
Hold938%
Sell14%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1458%
Hold
938%
Sell
14%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix58% Buy · 38% Hold · 4% Sell
Buy (14)Hold (9)Sell (1)

TME Price Target Analysis

Updated March 1, 2026

As of March 1, 2026, Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $25.00, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $14.60, this represents a potential upside of +71.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $10.34B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $25.00 to a high of $25.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $25.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, TME trades at a trailing P/E of 23.6x and forward P/E of 2.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.19 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -7.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $168.31, with bear and bull scenarios of $22.10 and $273.30 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Communication Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+115.4%
Avg Forward P/E9.2x
Peers with Coverage3 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
TMETencent Music Entertainment Group
$10.3B$14.60$25.00+71.2%Buy2.3x24
SPOTSpotify Technology S.A.$106.0B$514.94$663.60+28.9%Buy39.7x51
KRKR36Kr Holdings Inc.$3.2B$3.56——Buy0.1x1
FENGPhoenix New Media Limited$552M$1.74——Buy0.2x5
NAMIJinxin Technology Holding Company American Depositary Shares$508M$0.44—————
ARENThe Arena Group Holdings, Inc.$137M$2.89$10.00+246.0%Buy3.5x2
PODCPodcastOne, Inc.$50M$2.60—————
ZDGEZedge, Inc.$42M$3.29—————
ONFOOnfolio Holdings, Inc.$3M$0.49—————
BZFDBuzzFeed, Inc.$1M$0.76—————

Upside Potential Comparison

AREN
+246.0%
TME
+71.2%
SPOT
+28.9%

See TME's True Return

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Is TME Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare TME vs NFLX

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the TME stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for TME is $25, representing 71.2% upside from the current price of $14.6. With 24 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is TME a buy, sell, or hold?

TME has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $25 implies 71.2% upside from current levels.

Is TME stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 2.2657x, TME trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $25 implies 71.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can TME stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $25 for TME, while the most conservative target is $25. The consensus of $25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $273 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover TME stock?

TME is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the TME stock forecast?

The 12-month TME stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $25, with estimates ranging from $25 (bear case) to $25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $168, with bear/bull scenarios of $22/$273.

What is TME's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TME's fair value at $168 (base case), with a bear case of $22 and bull case of $273. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.

What is TME's forward P/E ratio?

TME trades at a forward P/E ratio of 2.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy TME stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TME, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $25 price target (71.2% upside). 14 of 24 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do TME price targets vary so much?

TME analyst price targets range from $25 to $25, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $22-$273 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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