Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$9.27
Price Target
$17.82
Target Range
$10.70 — $25.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E1.5x
Trailing P/E14.9x
Forward PEG0.12
Implied Growth-11.1%
Median Target$17.40
Analyst Spread80.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$11
+15.4%
Consensus
$18
+92.2%
Bull Case
$25
+169.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 37/100
Bear$31
Base$179
Bull$380
TME Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.82, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.27, this represents a potential upside of +92.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.57B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.70 to a high of $25.00, representing a 80% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.40 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 11 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, TME trades at a trailing P/E of 14.9x and forward P/E of 1.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.12 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -11.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $178.68, with bear and bull scenarios of $30.75 and $380.38 respectively. Model confidence stands at 37/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Communication Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+14.1%
Avg Forward P/E40.6x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SPOTSpotify Technology S.A. | $88.0B | $427.43 | $630.64 | +47.5% | Buy | 33.0x | 52 |
 IDCCInterDigital, Inc. | $7.2B | $278.77 | $425.00 | +52.5% | Buy | 38.8x | 16 |
 AAPLApple Inc. | $4.2T | $287.42 | $317.11 | +10.3% | Buy | 33.8x | 110 |
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.9T | $271.17 | $306.77 | +13.1% | Buy | 34.8x | 94 |
 GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | $4.8T | $397.99 | $406.28 | +2.1% | Buy | 29.6x | 82 |
 SIRISirius XM Holdings Inc. | $9.0B | $26.75 | $26.75 | +0.0% | Buy | 8.5x | 32 |
 IHRTiHeartMedia, Inc. | $880M | $5.67 | $3.50 | -38.3% | Buy | — | 10 |
 WMGWarner Music Group Corp. | $16.2B | $31.04 | $35.50 | +14.4% | Buy | 23.4x | 24 |
 LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc. | $38.6B | $166.31 | $181.00 | +8.8% | Buy | 115.8x | 44 |
 SONOSonos, Inc. | $1.8B | $14.89 | $19.50 | +31.0% | Buy | 47.3x | 9 |
Upside Potential Comparison
IDCCSPOTSONOWMGAMZNAAPLLYVGOOGLSee TME's True Return
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorIs TME Undervalued?
DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.
View ValuationCompare TME vs NFLX
Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Netflix, Inc..
Start ComparisonTME — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TME stock.
What is the TME stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for TME is $17.82, representing 92.2% upside from the current price of $9.27. With 24 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is TME a buy, sell, or hold?
TME has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 12 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $17.82 implies 92.2% upside from current levels.
Is TME stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 1.5041x, TME trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $17.82 implies 92.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can TME stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $25 for TME, while the most conservative target is $10.7. The consensus of $17.82 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $380 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TME stock?
TME is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TME stock forecast?
The 12-month TME stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17.82, with estimates ranging from $10.7 (bear case) to $25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $179, with bear/bull scenarios of $31/$380.
What is TME's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TME's fair value at $179 (base case), with a bear case of $31 and bull case of $380. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 37/100.
What is TME's forward P/E ratio?
TME trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TME stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TME, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $17.82 price target (92.2% upside). 11 of 24 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TME price targets vary so much?
TME analyst price targets range from $10.7 to $25, a 80% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17.82 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $31-$380 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.