37.4% Below Target

The consensus Wall Street price target for MAT is $19.29, representing 37.4% upside from the current price of $14.04. With 34 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

MAT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 34 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 18 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $19.29 implies 37.4% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 10.5675x, MAT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $19.29 implies 37.4% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $28 for MAT, while the most conservative target is $16. The consensus of $19.29 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $26 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MAT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 34 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MAT stock forecast based on 34 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $19.29, with estimates ranging from $16 (bear case) to $28 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $20, with bear/bull scenarios of $12/$26.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MAT's fair value at $20 (base case), with a bear case of $12 and bull case of $26. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.

MAT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MAT, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $19.29 price target (37.4% upside). 18 of 34 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MAT analyst price targets range from $16 to $28, a 62% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $19.29 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $12-$26 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.