Specialty Retail
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Luxury Goods
Specialty Retail
Specialty Retail
MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Specialty Retail | Luxury Goods | Specialty Retail | Specialty Retail |
| Market Cap | $19M | $3.59B | $6.07B | $30.91B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $141M | $723M | $2.86B | $28.65B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-63M | $-65M | $285M | $-165M |
| Gross Margin | 40.0% | 73.3% | 72.0% | 12.7% |
| Operating Margin | -71.6% | -1.9% | 14.3% | 0.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | 307.7x | 18.5x | 292.4x |
| Total Debt | $972K | $463M | $742M | $4.63B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $82M | $151M | $1.40B | $6.32B |
MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOGU Inc. (MOGU) | 100 | 9.6 | -90.4% |
| The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) | 100 | 54.8 | -45.2% |
| Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) | 100 | 31.7 | -68.3% |
| Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) | 100 | 34.9 | -65.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MOGU is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 0.67
- Lower volatility, beta 0.67, Low D/E 0.2%, current ratio 1.51x
- Beta 0.67, current ratio 1.51x
- Beta 0.67 vs REAL's 2.95
REAL is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 45.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.7%
- -57.1% 10Y total return vs ETSY's 6.8%
- 15.4% revenue growth vs MOGU's -11.9%
- +75.9% vs CPNG's -35.3%
ETSY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for value and quality.
- Lower P/E (18.5x vs 292.4x)
- 9.9% margin vs MOGU's -44.3%
- 10.6% ROA vs REAL's -17.3%
CPNG lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs MOGU's -11.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (18.5x vs 292.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.9% margin vs MOGU's -44.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.67 vs REAL's 2.95 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +75.9% vs CPNG's -35.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.6% ROA vs REAL's -17.3% |
MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ETSY leads in 2 of 6 categories
REAL leads 1 • MOGU leads 0 • CPNG leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ETSY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CPNG is the larger business by revenue, generating $28.7B annually — 202.9x MOGU's $141M. ETSY is the more profitable business, keeping 9.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MOGU's -44.3%. On growth, REAL holds the edge at +18.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $141M | $723M | $2.9B | $28.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$90M | $11M | $508M | -$45M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$63M | -$65M | $285M | -$165M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$78M | $13M | $673M | $279M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.0% | +73.3% | +72.0% | +12.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -71.6% | -1.9% | +14.3% | +0.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -44.3% | -9.0% | +9.9% | -0.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -55.2% | +1.7% | +23.5% | +1.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.0% | +18.5% | +3.1% | -74.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -58.7% | -150.0% | +2.2% | -3.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ETSY leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 46.0x trailing earnings, ETSY trades at a 71% valuation discount to CPNG's 156.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ETSY's 11.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than REAL's 430.5x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $19M | $3.6B | $6.1B | $30.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8M | $3.9B | $5.4B | $29.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.12x | -18.24x | 46.03x | 156.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 307.69x | 18.51x | 292.36x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 430.51x | 11.53x | 42.79x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.94x | 5.19x | 2.11x | 0.90x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.25x | — | — | 6.91x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 195.62x | 9.51x | 59.22x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — ETSY and CPNG each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CPNG delivers a -3.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-4 in annual profit, vs $-12 for MOGU. MOGU carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CPNG's 1.00x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), REAL scores 5/9 vs MOGU's 1/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -11.6% | — | — | -3.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.3% | -17.3% | +10.6% | -0.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -21.2% | — | — | +14.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -17.5% | -15.0% | +22.9% | +5.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | — | — | 1.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$81M | $312M | -$653M | -$1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $82M | $151M | $1.4B | $6.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $972,000 | $463M | $742M | $4.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -101140.00x | -5.83x | 27.47x | 8.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
REAL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in REAL five years ago would be worth $5,439 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,184 for MOGU. Over the past 12 months, REAL leads with a +75.9% total return vs CPNG's -35.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors REAL at 108.4% vs ETSY's -11.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.5% | -21.5% | +11.7% | -26.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +4.7% | +75.9% | +39.3% | -35.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.6% | +805.1% | -31.0% | -3.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -88.2% | -45.6% | -61.3% | -55.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.7% | -57.1% | +681.2% | -65.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -3.0% | +108.4% | -11.7% | -1.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MOGU and ETSY each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MOGU is the less volatile stock with a 0.67 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than REAL's 2.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ETSY currently trades 83.6% from its 52-week high vs MOGU's 27.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.67x | 2.95x | 1.22x | 1.27x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.10 | $17.39 | $76.52 | $34.08 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.83 | $4.70 | $44.00 | $16.74 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +27.5% | +71.3% | +83.6% | +50.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.3 | 66.3 | 59.1 | 33.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5K | 3.3M | 2.8M | 21.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MOGU as "Buy", REAL as "Buy", ETSY as "Buy", CPNG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 54.5% upside for CPNG (target: $27) vs 9.5% for ETSY (target: $70).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $18.17 | $70.07 | $26.60 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 3 | 25 | 45 | 16 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.6% | 0.0% | +12.8% | +0.8% |
ETSY leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). REAL leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
MOGU vs REAL vs ETSY vs CPNG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The RealReal, Inc.
(REAL) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -11. 9% for MOGU Inc. (MOGU). Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) offers the better valuation at 46. 0x trailing P/E (18. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MOGU Inc. (MOGU) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG?
On trailing P/E, Etsy, Inc.
(ETSY) is the cheapest at 46. 0x versus Coupang, Inc. at 156. 5x. On forward P/E, Etsy, Inc. is actually cheaper at 18. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG?
Over the past 5 years, The RealReal, Inc.
(REAL) delivered a total return of -45. 6%, compared to -88. 2% for MOGU Inc. (MOGU). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ETSY returned +681. 2% versus MOGU's -98. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MOGU Inc.
(MOGU) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 67β versus The RealReal, Inc. 's 2. 95β — meaning REAL is approximately 340% more volatile than MOGU relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, MOGU Inc. (MOGU) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 100% for Coupang, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The RealReal, Inc.
(REAL) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus -11. 9% for MOGU Inc. (MOGU). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The RealReal, Inc. grew EPS 45. 2% year-over-year, compared to -40. 9% for Etsy, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CPNG leads at 18. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG?
Etsy, Inc.
(ETSY) is the more profitable company, earning 5. 7% net margin versus -44. 3% for MOGU Inc. — meaning it keeps 5. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ETSY leads at 12. 8% versus -71. 6% for MOGU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ETSY leads at 71. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Etsy, Inc.
(ETSY) trades at 18. 5x forward P/E versus 307. 7x for The RealReal, Inc. — 289. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CPNG: 54. 5% to $26. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is MOGU or REAL or ETSY or CPNG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Etsy, Inc.
(ETSY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 22), +681. 2% 10Y return). The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) carries a higher beta of 2. 95 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ETSY: +681. 2%, REAL: -57. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MOGU and REAL and ETSY and CPNG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MOGU is a small-cap quality compounder stock; REAL is a small-cap high-growth stock; ETSY is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CPNG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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