BANC trades 15.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $15.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BANC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 27 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Banc of California, Inc. (BANC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $15.00, based on estimates from 27 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $17.72, this represents a potential downside of -15.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.72B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $20.00, representing a 67% spread in expectations. The median target of $15.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 15 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, BANC trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -113.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.31, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.46 and $38.61 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation | $8.3B | $75.60 | $86.00 | +13.8% | Buy | 8.4x | 24 |
 EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc. | $17.1B | $124.49 | $146.38 | +17.6% | Buy | 11.7x | 24 |
 CVBFCVB Financial Corp. | $3.2B | $22.01 | $26.67 | +21.2% | Hold | 14.6x | 16 |
 BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $7.9B | $130.58 | $149.00 | +14.1% | Hold | 12.3x | 21 |
 ZIONZions Bancorporation, National Association | $9.1B | $62.65 | $76.73 | +22.5% | Hold | 7.8x | 51 |
 CMAComerica Incorporated | $11.3B | $88.67 | $80.36 | -9.4% | Hold | 16.5x | 62 |
 FHNFirst Horizon Corporation | $10.9B | $23.02 | $28.07 | +21.9% | Hold | 10.7x | 35 |
 HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated | $31.1B | $15.38 | $20.11 | +30.8% | Hold | 11.2x | 49 |
 COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc. | $8.2B | $28.85 | $34.20 | +18.5% | Buy | 9.5x | 19 |
 UMBFUMB Financial Corporation | $10.2B | $133.85 | $168.50 | +25.9% | Buy | 10.1x | 18 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BANC stock.
BANC's consensus price target is $15, -15.3% below the current price of $17.72. The 27 analysts tracking BANC see downside risk at present valuations.
BANC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 27 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 15 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $15 implies -15.3% downside from current levels.
BANC's current price is $17.72 with a consensus target of $15 (-15.3% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is overvalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $20 for BANC, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $15 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $39 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BANC is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 27 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BANC stock forecast based on 27 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $20 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $29, with bear/bull scenarios of $18/$39.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BANC's fair value at $29 (base case), with a bear case of $18 and bull case of $39. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
Analysts are cautious on BANC, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $15 (-15.3% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BANC analyst price targets range from $10 to $20, a 67% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $15 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $18-$39 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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