CNR trades 18.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $105.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes CNR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 17 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $105.00, based on estimates from 17 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $88.96, this represents a potential upside of +18.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.48B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $105.00 to a high of $105.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $105.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 11 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CNR trades at a trailing P/E of -29.9x and forward P/E of 17.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +152.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $83.68, with bear and bull scenarios of $52.72 and $110.25 respectively. Model confidence stands at 41/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BTUPeabody Energy Corporation | $3.0B | $24.81 | $30.50 | +22.9% | Hold | — | 33 |
 AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | $2.2B | $171.54 | $173.00 | +0.9% | Hold | — | 4 |
 HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.7B | $89.35 | $100.00 | +11.9% | Hold | 14.0x | 24 |
 METCRamaco Resources, Inc. | $436M | $8.11 | $11.67 | +44.0% | Buy | — | 9 |
 ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. | $3.2B | $24.53 | $30.00 | +22.3% | Hold | 10.2x | 18 |
 SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc. | $840M | $9.90 | $9.00 | -9.1% | Buy | 28.7x | 17 |
 CSXCSX Corporation | $87.9B | $47.43 | $51.00 | +7.5% | Buy | 23.6x | 46 |
 NSCNorfolk Southern Corporation | $71.3B | $317.44 | $361.86 | +14.0% | Hold | 24.5x | 48 |
 GBXThe Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | $1.3B | $40.58 | $54.40 | +34.1% | Hold | 13.4x | 24 |
 HNRGHallador Energy Company | $636M | $13.49 | $28.00 | +107.6% | Buy | — | 6 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CNR stock.
Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) has a consensus 12-month price target of $105, implying 18.0% upside from $88.96. The 17 analysts covering CNR see moderate appreciation potential.
CNR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 17 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 11 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $105 implies 18.0% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 17.7271x, CNR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $105 implies 18.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $105 for CNR, while the most conservative target is $105. The consensus of $105 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $110 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CNR is well covered by analysts, with 17 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CNR stock forecast based on 17 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $105, with estimates ranging from $105 (bear case) to $105 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $84, with bear/bull scenarios of $53/$110.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CNR's fair value at $84 (base case), with a bear case of $53 and bull case of $110. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 41/100.
CNR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on CNR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $105 price target (18.0% upside). 11 of 17 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CNR analyst price targets range from $105 to $105, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $105 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $53-$110 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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