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Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock (JCAP) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$20.63
Market reference
Price Target
$26.33
+27.6% Upside
Target Range
$25.00 — $28.00
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Buy
9 analysts
Forward P/E7.3x
Trailing P/E11.4x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-58.6%
Median Target$26.00
Analyst Spread11.4%

Analysts see +27.6% upside to their consensus target of $26.33. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$20.63
Consensus$26.33
High$28.00
Low$25.00
Model$67.07
Bear Case
$25
+21.2%
Consensus
$26
+27.6%
Bull Case
$28
+35.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 20/100
Bear$-165
Base$67
Bull$286

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 9 published analyst recommendations for JCAP

7/9 analysts are bullish
+33
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 9 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage9 Analysts
Net Score+33
Bull / Bear78% / 11%
Strong Buy00%
Buy778%
Hold111%
Sell111%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
778%
Hold
111%
Sell
111%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix78% Buy · 11% Hold · 11% Sell
Buy (7)Hold (1)Sell (1)

JCAP Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock (JCAP) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $26.33, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $20.63, this represents a potential upside of +27.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.20B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $25.00 to a high of $28.00, representing a 11% spread in expectations. The median target of $26.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, JCAP trades at a trailing P/E of 11.4x and forward P/E of 7.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -58.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $67.07, with bear and bull scenarios of $-165.28 and $286.27 respectively. Model confidence stands at 20/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+27.0%
Avg Forward P/E11.9x
Peers with Coverage4 / 5
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
JCAPJefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock
$1.2B$20.63$26.33+27.6%Buy7.3x9
FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc$8.5B$192.79$217.00+12.6%Hold18.6x19
EZPWEZCORP, Inc.$1.6B$26.53$27.25+2.7%Buy14.8x15
PRAAPRA Group, Inc.$616M$15.75$26.00+65.1%Hold6.9x13
LMFALM Funding America, Inc.$6M$0.37—————

Upside Potential Comparison

PRAA
+65.1%
JCAP
+27.6%
FCFS
+12.6%
EZPW
+2.7%

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Is JCAP Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare JCAP vs JPM

See how JCAP stacks up against sector leader JPMorgan Chase & Co..

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the JCAP stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for JCAP is $26.33, representing 27.6% upside from the current price of $20.63. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is JCAP a buy, sell, or hold?

JCAP has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $26.33 implies 27.6% upside from current levels.

Is JCAP stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 7.2898x, JCAP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $26.33 implies 27.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can JCAP stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $28 for JCAP, while the most conservative target is $25. The consensus of $26.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $286 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover JCAP stock?

JCAP is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the JCAP stock forecast?

The 12-month JCAP stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $26.33, with estimates ranging from $25 (bear case) to $28 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $67, with bear/bull scenarios of $-165/$286.

What is JCAP's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates JCAP's fair value at $67 (base case), with a bear case of $-165 and bull case of $286. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 20/100.

What is JCAP's forward P/E ratio?

JCAP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy JCAP stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on JCAP, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $26.33 price target (27.6% upside). 7 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do JCAP price targets vary so much?

JCAP analyst price targets range from $25 to $28, a 11% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $26.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-165-$286 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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