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$201.53$124.8B
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COF logo

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 56 analysts

32.4% Below Target

COF trades 32.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $266.90.

Current Price$201.53
Average Target$266.90
Target
Current
Low$213.00
Median$266.50
High$300.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E10.3x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+402.9%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread32.6%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$201.53
Consensus$266.90
High$300.00
Low$213.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes COF achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 56 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 56 published analyst recommendations for COF

32% hold / mixed conviction
+27
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 56 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage56 Analysts
Net Score+27
Bull / Bear61% / 7%
Strong Buy00%
Buy3461%
Hold1832%
Sell47%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
3461%
Hold
1832%
Sell
47%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix61% Buy · 32% Hold · 7% Sell
Buy (34)Hold (18)Sell (4)

COF Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $266.90, based on estimates from 56 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $201.53, this represents a potential upside of +32.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $124.76B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $213.00 to a high of $300.00, representing a 33% spread in expectations. The median target of $266.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 34 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,18 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, COF trades at a trailing P/E of 50.0x and forward P/E of 10.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +402.9% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $788.24, with bear and bull scenarios of $496.59 and $1038.58 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+9.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
11.9x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
SYF logo
SYFSynchrony Financial
$26.2B$75.26$89.75
+19.3%
Buy8.1x41
AXP logo
AXPAmerican Express Company
$231.9B$338.16$374.73
+10.8%
Hold19.1x57
BAC logo
BACBank of America Corporation
$424.1B$56.20$61.13
+8.8%
Buy12.6x54
JPM logo
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
$908.6B$325.22$339.75
+4.5%
Buy14.6x61
C logo
CCitigroup Inc.
$266.5B$143.09$140.75
-1.6%
Buy13.2x27
WFC logo
WFCWells Fargo & Company
$264.5B$82.21$99.38
+20.9%
Hold11.7x60
ALLY logo
ALLYAlly Financial Inc.
$14.3B$45.49$53.57
+17.8%
Buy8.5x38
NAVI logo
NAVINavient Corporation
$760M$8.09$8.67
+7.2%
Hold11.2x24
OMF logo
OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc.
$6.8B$58.18$67.00
+15.2%
Buy8.0x31
CACC logo
CACCCredit Acceptance Corporation
$6.0B$579.73$540.00
-6.9%
Hold12.0x18

COF — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying COF stock.

What is the COF stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for COF is $266.9, representing 32.4% upside from the current price of $201.53. With 56 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is COF a buy, sell, or hold?

COF has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 56 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 34 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $266.9 implies 32.4% upside from current levels.

Is COF stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 10.3191x, COF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $266.9 implies 32.4% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can COF stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $300 for COF, while the most conservative target is $213. The consensus of $266.9 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1039 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover COF stock?

COF is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 56 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 34 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the COF stock forecast?

The 12-month COF stock forecast based on 56 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $266.9, with estimates ranging from $213 (bear case) to $300 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $788, with bear/bull scenarios of $497/$1039.

What is COF's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates COF's fair value at $788 (base case), with a bear case of $497 and bull case of $1039. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.

What is COF's forward P/E ratio?

COF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 50.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy COF stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on COF, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $266.9 price target (32.4% upside). 34 of 56 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do COF price targets vary so much?

COF analyst price targets range from $213 to $300, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $266.9 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $497-$1039 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into COF consensus models and risk factors.

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Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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