MNSO trades 22.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $10.80.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MNSO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.80, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $8.83, this represents a potential upside of +22.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.75B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.80 to a high of $10.80, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $10.80 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MNSO trades at a trailing P/E of 15.7x and forward P/E of 1.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -0.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $285.40, with bear and bull scenarios of $179.80 and $376.04 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FIVEFive Below, Inc. | $12.2B | $221.19 | $298.44 | +34.9% | Buy | 34.7x | 50 |
 DGDollar General Corporation | $26.2B | $118.94 | $137.27 | +15.4% | Buy | 15.1x | 52 |
 GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.1B | $11.62 | $10.80 | -7.1% | Hold | 21.3x | 23 |
 WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | $27.4B | $232.30 | $246.31 | +6.0% | Hold | 26.7x | 56 |
 BBBYBed Bath & Beyond Inc. | $319M | $4.28 | $8.00 | +86.9% | Hold | — | 5 |
 TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc. | $146.6B | $132.73 | $174.15 | +31.2% | Buy | 28.3x | 53 |
 BURLBurlington Stores, Inc. | $17.3B | $275.34 | $383.30 | +39.2% | Buy | 28.1x | 35 |
 OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | $5.3B | $88.06 | $100.80 | +14.5% | Buy | 19.1x | 28 |
 BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited | $247.0B | $105.85 | $180.57 | +70.6% | Buy | 2.5x | 59 |
 JDJD.com, Inc. | $36.2B | $25.78 | $35.86 | +39.1% | Buy | 1.2x | 46 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MNSO stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for MNSO is $10.8, representing 22.3% upside from the current price of $8.83. With 5 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
MNSO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $10.8 implies 22.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 1.1664x, MNSO trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10.8 implies 22.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10.8 for MNSO, while the most conservative target is $10.8. The consensus of $10.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $376 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MNSO is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MNSO stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10.8, with estimates ranging from $10.8 (bear case) to $10.8 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $285, with bear/bull scenarios of $180/$376.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MNSO's fair value at $285 (base case), with a bear case of $180 and bull case of $376. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
MNSO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MNSO, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $10.8 price target (22.3% upside). 3 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MNSO analyst price targets range from $10.8 to $10.8, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $180-$376 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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