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MCYMercury General Corporation
$107.47$6.0B
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MCY logo

Mercury General Corporation (MCY) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 26, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 7 analysts

16.3% Above Target

MCY trades 16.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $90.00.

Current Price$107.47
Average Target$90.00
Low$90.00
Median$90.00
High$90.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E9.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio1.24
(Fair)
Implied Growth-25.0%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$107.47
Consensus$90.00
High$90.00
Low$90.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes MCY achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 7 published analyst recommendations for MCY

71% hold / mixed conviction
+7
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 7 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage7 Analysts
Net Score+7
Bull / Bear14% / 14%
Strong Buy114%
Buy00%
Hold571%
Sell114%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
114%
Buy
00%
Hold
571%
Sell
114%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix14% Buy · 71% Hold · 14% Sell
Buy (1)Hold (5)Sell (1)

MCY Price Target Analysis

Updated June 28, 2026

As of June 28, 2026, Mercury General Corporation (MCY) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $90.00, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $107.47, this represents a potential downside of -16.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.95B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $90.00 to a high of $90.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $90.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, MCY trades at a trailing P/E of 11.0x and forward P/E of 9.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.24 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -25.0% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $172.03, with bear and bull scenarios of $108.38 and $226.66 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+6.1%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
12.5x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
HCI logo
HCIHCI Group, Inc.
$2.3B$180.46$126.50
-29.9%
Buy10.4x14
HRTG logo
HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.
$785M$25.86$36.00
+39.2%
Buy6.0x9
KMPR logo
KMPRKemper Corporation
$1.6B$26.81$36.00
+34.3%
Buy13.0x12
ERIE logo
ERIEErie Indemnity Company
$11.0B$238.71———18.9x—
SIGI logo
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.
$5.8B$96.30$95.00
-1.3%
Hold12.4x16
PGR logo
PGRThe Progressive Corporation
$131.1B$224.34$228.42
+1.8%
Hold13.1x41
ALL logo
ALLThe Allstate Corporation
$61.7B$239.61$250.00
+4.3%
Hold7.9x44
TRV logo
TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.
$69.6B$327.37$310.40
-5.2%
Hold11.7x43
HIG logo
HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.
$36.8B$133.89$150.38
+12.3%
Buy10.4x42
CINF logo
CINFCincinnati Financial Corporation
$28.7B$184.08$182.50
-0.9%
Buy21.2x17

MCY — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MCY stock.

What is the MCY stock price target for 2026?

MCY's consensus price target is $90, -16.3% below the current price of $107.47. The 7 analysts tracking MCY see downside risk at present valuations.

Is MCY a buy, sell, or hold?

MCY has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $90 implies -16.3% downside from current levels.

Is MCY stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 9.4471x, MCY trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $90 implies -16.3% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can MCY stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $90 for MCY, while the most conservative target is $90. The consensus of $90 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $227 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MCY stock?

MCY is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MCY stock forecast?

The 12-month MCY stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $90, with estimates ranging from $90 (bear case) to $90 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $172, with bear/bull scenarios of $108/$227.

What is MCY's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MCY's fair value at $172 (base case), with a bear case of $108 and bull case of $227. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.

What is MCY's forward P/E ratio?

MCY trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MCY stock?

Analysts are cautious on MCY, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $90 (-16.3% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MCY price targets vary so much?

MCY analyst price targets range from $90 to $90, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $90 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $108-$227 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

Compare